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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

BS Bouhajla v Ksour Essef: numbers & prediction

Cup · Tunisia
1–1
FTAET 2–1
BS Bouhajla 34%Draw 29%Ksour Essef 37% Expected goals 0.82 – 1.14
66%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2

Value bet: Ksour Essef to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultKsour Essef to win ✗37% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.24

BS Bouhajla vs Ksour Essef: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

BS Bouhajla welcome Ksour Essef for a Cup fixture on Monday 23 March (13:30 WAT).

Current form

BS Bouhajla, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to ES Hammam-Sousse, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.

Ksour Essef, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Jendouba Sport, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Ksour Essef, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for BS Bouhajla.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give BS Bouhajla 0.8 xG, Ksour Essef 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – BS Bouhajla 34%, draw 29%, Ksour Essef 37%.
  • Price worth noting: Ksour Essef to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: BS Bouhajla 0–1 Ksour Essef. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

BS Bouhajla34%fair 2.97 · @2.30
Draw29%fair 3.40 · @2.90
Ksour Essef37%fair 2.71 · @3.00
1.96Expected goals
0.82BS Bouhajla xG
1.14Ksour Essef xG
42%Both score
34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–116%
0–014%
1–113%
1–012%
0–29%
1–27%

From our goals model: BS Bouhajla 0.8 – 1.1 Ksour Essef expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKsour Essef to win ✗37%2.713.00 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71%1.421.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗58%1.73–
Draw no betKsour Essef (draw no bet)52%1.91–
Asian handicapBS Bouhajla +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓58%1.71–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66%1.521.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scoreKsour Essef to score first50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ksour Essef / FT Ksour Essef ✗24%4.11–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16%6.24–

Recent results

BS Bouhajla – last 3

LLD
28 Febvs ES Hammam-Sousse0–1L
22 Feb@ Sporting Ben Arous0–1L
16 Febvs EM Mahdia0–0D
0.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Ksour Essef – last 3

WDL
27 Febvs Jendouba Sport2–1W
22 Feb@ Korba0–0D
15 Feb@ Redeyef1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between BS Bouhajla and Ksour Essef.

BS Bouhajla vs Ksour Essef head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for BS Bouhajla vs Ksour Essef?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win BS Bouhajla vs Ksour Essef?

On our numbers BS Bouhajla have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Ksour Essef 37%.

How many goals will there be in BS Bouhajla vs Ksour Essef?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for BS Bouhajla vs Ksour Essef?

Our predicted score is BS Bouhajla 0–1 Ksour Essef, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is BS Bouhajla vs Ksour Essef?

BS Bouhajla vs Ksour Essef (Cup) kicks off on Monday 23 March 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.