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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

M'saken v US Ben Guerdane: numbers & prediction

Cup · Tunisia

M'saken

WLL
4–1
FT

US Ben Guerdane

LLL
M'saken 31%Draw 38%US Ben Guerdane 31% Expected goals 1.49 – 1.50
69%
Betarazi pick

US Ben Guerdane or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.40Odds
X

Value bet: Draw @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultDraw ✗38% · @2.90
Double chanceUS Ben Guerdane or draw ✗69% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗11% · fair 8.90

M'saken vs US Ben Guerdane: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

M'saken welcome US Ben Guerdane for a Cup fixture on Sunday 22 March (13:30 WAT).

Current form

M'saken, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over EM Mahdia, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

US Ben Guerdane, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Club Africain, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours M'saken, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.0 for US Ben Guerdane.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give M'saken 1.5 xG, US Ben Guerdane 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 46% and GG at 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – M'saken 31%, draw 38%, US Ben Guerdane 31%.
  • Lower-risk option: US Ben Guerdane or draw (69%) at 1.40.
  • Price worth noting: Draw @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was US Ben Guerdane or draw (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: M'saken 1–1 US Ben Guerdane. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

M'saken31%fair 3.24 · @2.60
Draw38%fair 2.64 · @2.90
US Ben Guerdane31%fair 3.20 · @2.60
2.99Expected goals
1.49M'saken xG
1.50US Ben Guerdane xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: M'saken 1.5 – 1.5 US Ben Guerdane expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDraw ✗38%2.642.90 ▲
Double chanceUS Ben Guerdane or draw ✗69%1.451.40
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.92–
Draw no betUS Ben Guerdane (draw no bet) ✗50%1.99–
Asian handicapM'saken +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.871.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗82%1.22–
First team to scoreUS Ben Guerdane to score first ✗48%2.10–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT US Ben Guerdane / FT US Ben Guerdane ✗22%4.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗11%8.90–

Recent results

M'saken – last 3

WLL
27 Febvs EM Mahdia2–0W
22 Feb@ CS Hammam-Lif0–3L
16 Febvs Kerkennah0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

US Ben Guerdane – last 3

LLL
8 Marvs Club Africain0–1L
27 Feb@ Jeunesse Sportive Omrane1–2L
15 Febvs CS Sfaxien0–1L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between M'saken and US Ben Guerdane.

M'saken vs US Ben Guerdane head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

– CA Bizertin1 AS Marsa1 Pens 5–4 138%2.30X30%2.62231%3.25 1.1–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.10 ✓
FT Jendouba Sport2 Sfax Railways0 141%2.15X32%2.62227%3.50 1.6–1.2xG 1XJendouba Sport or draw 73%@1.25 ✓
FT JS Kairouanaise0 CS Sfaxien0 AET 0–1 117%5.25X31%3.25251%1.60 0.6–1.1xG X2CS Sfaxien or draw 83%@1.22 ✓
FT US Monastirienne1 Club Africain0 135%2.90X31%2.62235%2.45 1.0–1.0xG NGNot both teams to score 52%@1.62 ✓
– AS Soliman2 Stade Tunisien2 Pens 4–1 121%6.00X24%3.60255%1.44 1.2–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@2.50 ✓
– ES Zarzis0 Korba0 Pens 4–3 156%1.42X25%3.50219%8.00 1.8–1.3xG 1ES Zarzis to win 56%@1.42 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for M'saken vs US Ben Guerdane?

Our pick is US Ben Guerdane or draw with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win M'saken vs US Ben Guerdane?

On our numbers M'saken have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 38% and US Ben Guerdane 31%.

How many goals will there be in M'saken vs US Ben Guerdane?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for M'saken vs US Ben Guerdane?

Our predicted score is M'saken 1–1 US Ben Guerdane, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is M'saken vs US Ben Guerdane?

M'saken vs US Ben Guerdane (Cup) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.