Value bet: Draw @ 3.20 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✗37% · @3.20
Double chancePaysandu or draw ✗73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.86
Paysandu vs Colón: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Paysandu welcome Colón for a Segunda División fixture on Friday 13 March (22:00 WAT). In the table, Paysandu are 5th, upper half, on 35 points after 25 matches; Colón are 3rd (among the top four) with 39.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paysandu 1.4 xG, Colón 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paysandu 36%, draw 37%, Colón 27%.
Lower-risk option: Paysandu or draw (73%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paysandu 1–1 Colón. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paysandu36%fair 2.75 · @2.25
Draw37%fair 2.72 · @3.20
Colón27%fair 3.74 · @3.00
2.49Expected goals
1.36Paysandu xG
1.13Colón xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Paysandu 1.4 – 1.1 Colón expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Paysandu
Colón
Attack vs Segunda División average
+11%
+8%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
-7%
Our expected goals here
1.35
1.08
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
37%
2.72
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Paysandu or draw✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.70
Draw no bet
Paysandu (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Colón +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Paysandu to score first✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paysandu / FT Paysandu✗
25%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.86
–
Recent results
Paysandu
No recent results on record.
Colón
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paysandu and Colón.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Paysandu vs Colón?
On our numbers Paysandu have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 37% and Colón 27%.
How many goals will there be in Paysandu vs Colón?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paysandu vs Colón?
Our predicted score is Paysandu 1–1 Colón, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Paysandu vs Colón?
Paysandu vs Colón (Segunda División) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
