Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Picks by market
ResultLa Luz to win ✗36% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗70% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.16
Tacuarembo vs La Luz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 17 March the Segunda División brings Tacuarembo against La Luz. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT. In the table, Tacuarembo are 13th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 25 matches; La Luz are 9th (lower half) with 34.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tacuarembo 1.0 xG, La Luz 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tacuarembo 34%, draw 30%, La Luz 36%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tacuarembo 0–1 La Luz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tacuarembo34%fair 2.95 · @2.55
Draw30%fair 3.35 · @2.90
La Luz36%fair 2.75 · @2.75
2.00Expected goals
0.97Tacuarembo xG
1.03La Luz xG
49%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Tacuarembo 1.0 – 1.0 La Luz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tacuarembo
La Luz
Attack vs Segunda División average
-28%
-6%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
-4%
Our expected goals here
0.91
0.99
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
La Luz to win✗
36%
2.75
2.75
Double chance
Either team to win✗
70%
1.43
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.65
Draw no bet
La Luz (draw no bet)
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Tacuarembo +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
La Luz to score first
45%
2.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.16
–
Recent results
Tacuarembo
No recent results on record.
La Luz
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tacuarembo and La Luz.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Tacuarembo vs La Luz?
On our numbers Tacuarembo have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 30% and La Luz 36%.
How many goals will there be in Tacuarembo vs La Luz?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tacuarembo vs La Luz?
Our predicted score is Tacuarembo 0–1 La Luz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Tacuarembo vs La Luz?
Tacuarembo vs La Luz (Segunda División) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
