Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.99
Al-Karma vs Gharraf: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al-Karma welcome Gharraf for a Iraqi League fixture on Thursday 12 March (21:15 WAT). In the table, Al-Karma are 1st, leading the league, on 30 points after 13 matches; Gharraf are 13th (lower half) with 14. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Gharraf, last 4: LLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Al Quwa Al Jawiya, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al-Karma 1.5 xG, Gharraf 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Karma 56%, draw 27%, Gharraf 17%.
Lower-risk option: Al-Karma or draw (83%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al-Karma to win (56%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Karma 1–0 Gharraf. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al-Karma56%fair 1.78 · @1.73
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @3.20
Gharraf17%fair 5.98 · @4.50
2.20Expected goals
1.50Al-Karma xG
0.69Gharraf xG
49%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–013%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Al-Karma 1.5 – 0.7 Gharraf expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Karma to win✓
56%
1.78
1.73
Double chance
Al-Karma or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.55
Draw no bet
Al-Karma (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Gharraf +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Al-Karma to score first✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Karma / FT Al-Karma✓
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.99
–
Recent results
Al-Karma – last 1
L
1 Mar
@ Al Minaa Basra
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Gharraf – last 4
LLWW
6 Mar
vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1–2
L
26 Feb
@ Zakho
0–2
L
20 Feb
vs Duhok
4–3
W
13 Feb
@ Al Minaa Basra
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Karma and Gharraf.
Our pick is Al-Karma to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Al-Karma vs Gharraf?
On our numbers Al-Karma have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Gharraf 17%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Karma vs Gharraf?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Karma vs Gharraf?
Our predicted score is Al-Karma 1–0 Gharraf, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Al-Karma vs Gharraf?
Al-Karma vs Gharraf (Iraqi League) kicks off on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
