Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultDanubio to win ✓40% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓70% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.53
Danubio vs Juventud: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Monday 16 March: Danubio v Juventud in the Primera División Apertura, played at Jardines Del Hipódromo. In the table, Danubio are 14th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 13 matches; Juventud are 8th (upper half) with 18.
Current form
Danubio, last 3: DLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Penarol, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Juventud, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Independiente Medellin, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Danubio 1.1 xG, Juventud 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Danubio 40%, draw 30%, Juventud 31%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Danubio 1–1 Juventud. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Danubio40%fair 2.52 · @2.08
Draw30%fair 3.35 · @3.10
Juventud31%fair 3.28 · @3.45
2.12Expected goals
1.10Danubio xG
1.03Juventud xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Danubio 1.1 – 1.0 Juventud expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Danubio
Juventud
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average
-33%
-18%
Goals conceded vs average
-1%
-8%
Our expected goals here
0.79
0.86
Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Danubio to win✓
40%
2.52
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✓
70%
1.43
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.95
Draw no bet
Danubio (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Juventud +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Danubio to score first✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Danubio / FT Danubio✓
21%
4.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.53
–
Recent results
Danubio – last 3
DLW
8 Mar
@ Penarol
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Racing Montevideo
0–4
L
15 Feb
vs Boston River
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Juventud – last 6
LDLWLD
13 Mar
@ Independiente Medellin
1–2
L
6 Mar
vs Independiente Medellin
1–1
D
3 Mar
@ Deportivo Maldonado
1–2
L
26 Feb
@ Club Guarani
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Central Espanol
0–1
L
19 Feb
vs Club Guarani
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Danubio and Juventud.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Danubio vs Juventud?
On our numbers Danubio have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Juventud 31%.
How many goals will there be in Danubio vs Juventud?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Danubio vs Juventud?
Our predicted score is Danubio 1–1 Juventud, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Danubio vs Juventud?
Danubio vs Juventud (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Jardines Del Hipódromo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
