Liverpool Montevideo vs Atletico Torque: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Tuesday 17 March: Liverpool Montevideo v Atletico Torque in the Primera División Apertura, played at Estadio Belvedere. In the table, Liverpool Montevideo are 1st, leading the league, on 30 points after 13 matches; Atletico Torque are 2nd (among the top four) with 28. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Liverpool Montevideo, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Boston River, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Atletico Torque, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cerro Largo, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Atletico Torque, collecting 2.6 points per game to 1.3 for Liverpool Montevideo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Liverpool Montevideo 1.4 xG, Atletico Torque 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Liverpool Montevideo 44%, draw 26%, Atletico Torque 30%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Liverpool Montevideo 1–1 Atletico Torque. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Liverpool Montevideo44%fair 2.26 · @2.25
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.25
Atletico Torque30%fair 3.36 · @2.98
2.52Expected goals
1.44Liverpool Montevideo xG
1.08Atletico Torque xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Liverpool Montevideo 1.4 – 1.1 Atletico Torque expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Liverpool Montevideo
Atletico Torque
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average
+15%
+43%
Goals conceded vs average
-31%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.51
1.06
Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liverpool Montevideo to win✗
44%
2.26
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.80
Draw no bet
Liverpool Montevideo (draw no bet)
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Torque +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Liverpool Montevideo to score first✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liverpool Montevideo / FT Liverpool Montevideo✗
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.10
–
Recent results
Liverpool Montevideo – last 6
WWDDLL
10 Mar
@ Boston River
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Cerro Largo
2–0
W
25 Feb
@ Independiente Medellin
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Cerro
1–1
D
18 Feb
vs Independiente Medellin
1–2
L
14 Feb
vs Defensor Sporting
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Atletico Torque – last 5
WWWWD
9 Mar
@ Cerro Largo
1–0
W
3 Mar
vs Defensor Sporting
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Defensor Sporting
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Wanderers
4–0
W
17 Feb
vs Juventud
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Liverpool Montevideo and Atletico Torque.
What is the prediction for Liverpool Montevideo vs Atletico Torque?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Liverpool Montevideo vs Atletico Torque?
On our numbers Liverpool Montevideo have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Atletico Torque 30%.
How many goals will there be in Liverpool Montevideo vs Atletico Torque?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool Montevideo vs Atletico Torque?
Our predicted score is Liverpool Montevideo 1–1 Atletico Torque, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Liverpool Montevideo vs Atletico Torque?
Liverpool Montevideo vs Atletico Torque (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Belvedere.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
