Dongguan United 26%Draw 24%Changchun Yatai 50%Expected goals 1.14 – 1.86
59%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
2
Value bet: Changchun Yatai to win @ 2.15 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultChangchun Yatai to win ✓50% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Dongguan United vs Changchun Yatai: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Changchun Yatai travel to face Dongguan United on Saturday 18 April in the League One, with Foshan International Sports and Cultural Center the venue – the ball rolls at 08:30 WAT. In the table, Dongguan United are 16th, in the drop zone, on 16 points after 30 matches; Changchun Yatai are 9th (lower half) with 39. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Dongguan United, last 4: WLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Hebei Kungfu, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Changchun Yatai, last 4: WWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Shaanxi Union, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Changchun Yatai, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Dongguan United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dongguan United 1.1 xG, Changchun Yatai 1.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dongguan United 26%, draw 24%, Changchun Yatai 50%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Changchun Yatai to win @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.69, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dongguan United 1–1 Changchun Yatai. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dongguan United26%fair 3.82 · @3.00
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.00
Changchun Yatai50%fair 1.99 · @2.15
2.99Expected goals
1.14Dongguan United xG
1.86Changchun Yatai xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–36%
2–16%
From our goals model: Dongguan United 1.1 – 1.9 Changchun Yatai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Changchun Yatai to win✓
50%
1.99
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.75
Draw no bet
Changchun Yatai (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
Dongguan United +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Changchun Yatai to score first✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Changchun Yatai ahead at half-time✓
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Changchun Yatai / FT Changchun Yatai✓
34%
2.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Dongguan United – last 4
WLLL
12 Apr
@ Hebei Kungfu
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs Meizhou Kejia
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs Guangzhou E-Power
2–3
L
14 Mar
@ Wuxi Wugou
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Changchun Yatai – last 4
WWLL
11 Apr
vs Shaanxi Union
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs Suzhou Dongwu
1–0
W
21 Mar
@ Hebei Kungfu
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Nanjing City
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dongguan United and Changchun Yatai.
What is the prediction for Dongguan United vs Changchun Yatai?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Dongguan United vs Changchun Yatai?
On our numbers Dongguan United have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Changchun Yatai 50%.
How many goals will there be in Dongguan United vs Changchun Yatai?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dongguan United vs Changchun Yatai?
Our predicted score is Dongguan United 1–1 Changchun Yatai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Dongguan United vs Changchun Yatai?
Dongguan United vs Changchun Yatai (League One) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Foshan International Sports and Cultural Center.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
