Value bet: Suzhou Dongwu to win @ 4.00 – our chance 36% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +43%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDongguan United to win ✗41% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.55
Dongguan United vs Suzhou Dongwu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Suzhou Dongwu travel to face Dongguan United on Sunday 10 May in the League One, with Foshan International Sports and Cultural Center the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Dongguan United are 16th, in the drop zone, on 16 points after 30 matches; Suzhou Dongwu are 13th (lower half) with 32. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Dongguan United, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Dalian Huayi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Suzhou Dongwu, last 4: LLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Nanjing City, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dongguan United 1.2 xG, Suzhou Dongwu 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dongguan United 41%, draw 24%, Suzhou Dongwu 36%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Suzhou Dongwu to win @4.00 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dongguan United 1–1 Suzhou Dongwu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dongguan United41%fair 2.46 · @1.90
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.20
Suzhou Dongwu36%fair 2.80 · @4.00
2.75Expected goals
1.24Dongguan United xG
1.52Suzhou Dongwu xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Dongguan United 1.2 – 1.5 Suzhou Dongwu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dongguan United to win✗
41%
2.46
1.90
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Dongguan United (draw no bet)
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Dongguan United +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Suzhou Dongwu to score first
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Suzhou Dongwu / FT Suzhou Dongwu✗
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.55
–
Recent results
Dongguan United – last 6
DWLWLL
2 May
@ Dalian Huayi
2–2
D
25 Apr
@ Shenzhen Juniors
3–0
W
18 Apr
vs Changchun Yatai
1–3
L
12 Apr
@ Hebei Kungfu
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs Meizhou Kejia
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs Guangzhou E-Power
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Suzhou Dongwu – last 4
LLWL
3 May
@ Nanjing City
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Changchun Yatai
0–1
L
21 Mar
@ Meizhou Kejia
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Dalian Huayi
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dongguan United and Suzhou Dongwu.
What is the prediction for Dongguan United vs Suzhou Dongwu?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Dongguan United vs Suzhou Dongwu?
On our numbers Dongguan United have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Suzhou Dongwu 36%.
How many goals will there be in Dongguan United vs Suzhou Dongwu?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dongguan United vs Suzhou Dongwu?
Our predicted score is Dongguan United 1–1 Suzhou Dongwu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Dongguan United vs Suzhou Dongwu?
Dongguan United vs Suzhou Dongwu (League One) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Foshan International Sports and Cultural Center.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
