Value bet: Changchun Yatai to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGuangxi Hengchen to win ✓38% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.64
Changchun Yatai vs Guangxi Hengchen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Guangxi Hengchen travel to face Changchun Yatai on Saturday 27 June in the League One, with Development Area Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 08:30 WAT. In the table, Changchun Yatai are 9th, lower half, on 39 points after 30 matches; Guangxi Hengchen are 4th (among the top four) with 47.
Current form
Changchun Yatai, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Dalian Huayi, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Guangxi Hengchen, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Shandong Luneng, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Changchun Yatai 1.5 xG, Guangxi Hengchen 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Changchun Yatai 37%, draw 25%, Guangxi Hengchen 38%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Changchun Yatai to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Changchun Yatai 1–1 Guangxi Hengchen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Changchun Yatai37%fair 2.67 · @3.00
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.20
Guangxi Hengchen38%fair 2.66 · @2.25
2.88Expected goals
1.51Changchun Yatai xG
1.36Guangxi Hengchen xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Changchun Yatai 1.5 – 1.4 Guangxi Hengchen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guangxi Hengchen to win✓
38%
2.66
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.70
Draw no bet
Guangxi Hengchen (draw no bet)✓
50%
2.00
–
Asian handicap
Guangxi Hengchen +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
First team to score
Changchun Yatai to score first
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Changchun Yatai / FT Changchun Yatai✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
12.64
–
Recent results
Changchun Yatai – last 6
WDLWLL
13 Jun
vs Dalian Huayi
2–1
W
30 May
@ Yanbian Longding
2–2
D
24 May
vs Shenzhen Juniors
0–4
L
9 May
@ Heilongjiang Lava Spring
3–2
W
3 May
@ Ningbo Professional
1–3
L
26 Apr
vs Guangzhou E-Power
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Guangxi Hengchen – last 6
LDDDWD
20 Jun
vs Shandong Luneng
0–5
L
14 Jun
@ Shenzhen Juniors
1–1
D
30 May
vs Dongguan United
3–3
D
23 May
vs Nantong Zhiyun
0–0
D
17 May
@ Hubei Chufeng Heli
4–0
W
10 May
@ Yanbian Longding
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Changchun Yatai and Guangxi Hengchen.
What is the prediction for Changchun Yatai vs Guangxi Hengchen?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Changchun Yatai vs Guangxi Hengchen?
On our numbers Changchun Yatai have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Guangxi Hengchen 38%.
How many goals will there be in Changchun Yatai vs Guangxi Hengchen?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Changchun Yatai vs Guangxi Hengchen?
Our predicted score is Changchun Yatai 1–1 Guangxi Hengchen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Changchun Yatai vs Guangxi Hengchen?
Changchun Yatai vs Guangxi Hengchen (League One) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Development Area Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
