Value bet: Wuxi Wugou to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultWuxi Wugou to win ✗39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.29
Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Wuxi Wugou: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 28 June the League One brings Heilongjiang Lava Spring against Wuxi Wugou at Dingnan Football Youth Training Center. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Heilongjiang Lava Spring are 14th, in the drop zone, on 28 points after 30 matches; Wuxi Wugou are 7th (upper half) with 43. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Heilongjiang Lava Spring, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Guangzhou E-Power, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Wuxi Wugou, last 5: DDWDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Qingdao Jonoon, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Wuxi Wugou, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Heilongjiang Lava Spring.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1.2 xG, Wuxi Wugou 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Heilongjiang Lava Spring 34%, draw 27%, Wuxi Wugou 39%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Wuxi Wugou to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1–1 Wuxi Wugou. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Heilongjiang Lava Spring34%fair 2.97 · @2.55
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @2.85
Wuxi Wugou39%fair 2.55 · @2.80
2.67Expected goals
1.22Heilongjiang Lava Spring xG
1.44Wuxi Wugou xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1.2 – 1.4 Wuxi Wugou expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wuxi Wugou to win✗
39%
2.55
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Wuxi Wugou (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Heilongjiang Lava Spring +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Wuxi Wugou to score first
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wuxi Wugou / FT Wuxi Wugou✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.29
–
Recent results
Heilongjiang Lava Spring – last 6
LDDLLD
13 Jun
vs Guangzhou E-Power
1–3
L
30 May
@ Meizhou Kejia
2–2
D
23 May
@ Dongguan United
1–1
D
17 May
@ Shanghai Zetian
2–4
L
9 May
vs Changchun Yatai
2–3
L
2 May
vs Shaanxi Union
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Wuxi Wugou – last 6
DDWDLD
20 Jun
vs Qingdao Jonoon
2–2
D
14 Jun
vs Meizhou Kejia
1–1
D
30 May
@ Suzhou Dongwu
3–1
W
23 May
vs Nanjing City
1–1
D
10 May
@ Nantong Zhiyun
0–1
L
2 May
@ Yanbian Longding
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Heilongjiang Lava Spring and Wuxi Wugou.
What is the prediction for Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Wuxi Wugou?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Wuxi Wugou?
On our numbers Heilongjiang Lava Spring have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Wuxi Wugou 39%.
How many goals will there be in Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Wuxi Wugou?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Wuxi Wugou?
Our predicted score is Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1–1 Wuxi Wugou, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Wuxi Wugou?
Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Wuxi Wugou (League One) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Dingnan Football Youth Training Center.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
