Nantong Zhiyun vs Changchun Yatai: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nantong Zhiyun welcome Changchun Yatai to Rugao Olympic Sports Center for a League One fixture on Saturday 26 September (12:30 WAT). In the table, Nantong Zhiyun are 2nd, among the top four, on 57 points after 30 matches; Changchun Yatai are 9th (lower half) with 39. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nantong Zhiyun, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Guangxi Hengchen, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Changchun Yatai, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Shenzhen Juniors, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nantong Zhiyun 1.9 xG, Changchun Yatai 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nantong Zhiyun 59%, draw 22%, Changchun Yatai 19%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nantong Zhiyun 1–1 Changchun Yatai. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nantong Zhiyun59%fair 1.69 · @1.60
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.70
Changchun Yatai19%fair 5.31 · @4.50
2.80Expected goals
1.86Nantong Zhiyun xG
0.94Changchun Yatai xG
56%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Nantong Zhiyun 1.9 – 0.9 Changchun Yatai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nantong Zhiyun to win✓
59%
1.69
1.60
Double chance
Nantong Zhiyun or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.80
Draw no bet
Nantong Zhiyun (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Changchun Yatai +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.14
First team to score
Nantong Zhiyun to score first✓
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Nantong Zhiyun ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nantong Zhiyun / FT Nantong Zhiyun✓
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
Nantong Zhiyun – last 6
LWDLWD
18 Sep
vs Guangxi Hengchen
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Wuxi Wugou
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Guangzhou E-Power
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Dalian Huayi
2–3
L
22 Aug
vs Shaanxi Union
4–1
W
16 Aug
@ Suzhou Dongwu
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Changchun Yatai – last 6
DWWLWL
19 Sep
@ Shenzhen Juniors
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Ningbo Professional
2–0
W
30 Aug
@ Guangzhou E-Power
0–3
L
23 Aug
vs Dongguan United
6–0
W
14 Aug
@ Shaanxi Union
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nantong Zhiyun and Changchun Yatai.
What is the prediction for Nantong Zhiyun vs Changchun Yatai?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Nantong Zhiyun vs Changchun Yatai?
On our numbers Nantong Zhiyun have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Changchun Yatai 19%.
How many goals will there be in Nantong Zhiyun vs Changchun Yatai?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nantong Zhiyun vs Changchun Yatai?
Our predicted score is Nantong Zhiyun 1–1 Changchun Yatai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Nantong Zhiyun vs Changchun Yatai?
Nantong Zhiyun vs Changchun Yatai (League One) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Rugao Olympic Sports Center.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.