Dongguan United 21%Draw 25%Nantong Zhiyun 54%Expected goals 0.86 – 1.78
79%
Betarazi pick
Nantong Zhiyun or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Nantong Zhiyun to win @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNantong Zhiyun to win ✓54% · @2.10
Double chanceNantong Zhiyun or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.84
Dongguan United vs Nantong Zhiyun: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nantong Zhiyun travel to face Dongguan United on Friday 17 July in the League One, with Foshan International Sports and Cultural Center the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Dongguan United are 16th, in the drop zone, on 16 points after 30 matches; Nantong Zhiyun are 2nd (among the top four) with 57. There are 41 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Dongguan United, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ningbo Professional, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Nantong Zhiyun, last 5: DLWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Shenzhen Juniors, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Nantong Zhiyun, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Dongguan United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dongguan United 0.9 xG, Nantong Zhiyun 1.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dongguan United 21%, draw 25%, Nantong Zhiyun 54%.
Lower-risk option: Nantong Zhiyun or draw (79%) at 1.22.
Price worth noting: Nantong Zhiyun to win @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Nantong Zhiyun or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dongguan United 0–1 Nantong Zhiyun. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dongguan United21%fair 4.73 · @3.45
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.00
Nantong Zhiyun54%fair 1.84 · @2.10
2.64Expected goals
0.86Dongguan United xG
1.78Nantong Zhiyun xG
45%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–07%
0–37%
From our goals model: Dongguan United 0.9 – 1.8 Nantong Zhiyun expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nantong Zhiyun to win✓
54%
1.84
2.10 ▲
Double chance
Nantong Zhiyun or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
–
Draw no bet
Nantong Zhiyun (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Dongguan United +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Nantong Zhiyun to score first
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Nantong Zhiyun ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nantong Zhiyun / FT Nantong Zhiyun✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.84
–
Recent results
Dongguan United – last 6
LLLLDD
13 Jul
@ Ningbo Professional
0–1
L
5 Jul
@ Nanjing City
1–3
L
27 Jun
vs Yanbian Longding
0–2
L
14 Jun
vs Shaanxi Union
0–5
L
30 May
@ Guangxi Hengchen
3–3
D
23 May
vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nantong Zhiyun – last 6
DLWDDL
4 Jul
@ Shenzhen Juniors
0–0
D
27 Jun
vs Meizhou Kejia
1–3
L
14 Jun
vs Yanbian Longding
2–0
W
29 May
@ Ningbo Professional
1–1
D
23 May
@ Guangxi Hengchen
0–0
D
15 May
@ Dalian Kewei
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dongguan United and Nantong Zhiyun.
What is the prediction for Dongguan United vs Nantong Zhiyun?
Our pick is Nantong Zhiyun or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Dongguan United vs Nantong Zhiyun?
On our numbers Dongguan United have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Nantong Zhiyun 54%.
How many goals will there be in Dongguan United vs Nantong Zhiyun?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dongguan United vs Nantong Zhiyun?
Our predicted score is Dongguan United 0–1 Nantong Zhiyun, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Dongguan United vs Nantong Zhiyun?
Dongguan United vs Nantong Zhiyun (League One) kicks off on Friday 17 July 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Foshan International Sports and Cultural Center.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
