Nanjing City 62%Draw 21%Heilongjiang Lava Spring 17%Expected goals 1.86 – 0.83
83%
Betarazi pick
Nanjing City or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Nanjing City to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNanjing City to win ✗62% · @1.91
Double chanceNanjing City or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25
Nanjing City vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Heilongjiang Lava Spring travel to face Nanjing City on Sunday 16 August in the League One, with Wutaishan Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Nanjing City are 12th, lower half, on 34 points after 30 matches; Heilongjiang Lava Spring are 14th (in the drop zone) with 28.
Current form
Nanjing City, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Nantong Zhiyun, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Heilongjiang Lava Spring, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Dalian Huayi, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Apr 2026) it ended Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1–1 Nanjing City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nanjing City 1.9 xG, Heilongjiang Lava Spring 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nanjing City 62%, draw 21%, Heilongjiang Lava Spring 17%.
Lower-risk option: Nanjing City or draw (83%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Nanjing City to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Nanjing City or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nanjing City 1–0 Heilongjiang Lava Spring. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nanjing City62%fair 1.61 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.25
Heilongjiang Lava Spring17%fair 6.00 · @3.65
2.70Expected goals
1.86Nanjing City xG
0.83Heilongjiang Lava Spring xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Nanjing City 1.9 – 0.8 Heilongjiang Lava Spring expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nanjing City vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
Our pick is Nanjing City or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Nanjing City vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
On our numbers Nanjing City have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Heilongjiang Lava Spring 17%.
How many goals will there be in Nanjing City vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nanjing City vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
Our predicted score is Nanjing City 1–0 Heilongjiang Lava Spring, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Nanjing City vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
Nanjing City vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring (League One) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Wutaishan Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
