Changchun Yatai 57%Draw 25%Dongguan United 18%Expected goals 2.07 – 1.12
59%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultChangchun Yatai to win ✓57% · @1.70
Double chanceChangchun Yatai or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Changchun Yatai vs Dongguan United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Changchun Yatai welcome Dongguan United to Development Area Stadium for a League One fixture on Sunday 23 August (12:00 WAT). In the table, Changchun Yatai are 9th, lower half, on 39 points after 30 matches; Dongguan United are 16th (in the drop zone) with 16. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Changchun Yatai, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Shaanxi Union, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Dongguan United, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Hebei Kungfu, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Changchun Yatai, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for Dongguan United.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Apr 2026) it ended Dongguan United 1–3 Changchun Yatai.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Changchun Yatai 2.1 xG, Dongguan United 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Changchun Yatai 57%, draw 25%, Dongguan United 18%.
Lower-risk option: Changchun Yatai or draw (82%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Changchun Yatai 2–1 Dongguan United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Changchun Yatai57%fair 1.75 · @1.70
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.30
Dongguan United18%fair 5.52 · @4.00
3.19Expected goals
2.07Changchun Yatai xG
1.12Dongguan United xG
59%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Changchun Yatai 2.1 – 1.1 Dongguan United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Changchun Yatai vs Dongguan United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Changchun Yatai vs Dongguan United?
On our numbers Changchun Yatai have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dongguan United 18%.
How many goals will there be in Changchun Yatai vs Dongguan United?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Changchun Yatai vs Dongguan United?
Our predicted score is Changchun Yatai 2–1 Dongguan United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Changchun Yatai vs Dongguan United?
Changchun Yatai vs Dongguan United (League One) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Development Area Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.