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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Changchun Yatai v Dongguan United: numbers & prediction

League One · China · Development Area Stadium
6–0
FT
Changchun Yatai 57%Draw 25%Dongguan United 18% Expected goals 2.07 – 1.12
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultChangchun Yatai to win ✓57% · @1.70
Double chanceChangchun Yatai or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12

Changchun Yatai vs Dongguan United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Changchun Yatai welcome Dongguan United to Development Area Stadium for a League One fixture on Sunday 23 August (12:00 WAT). In the table, Changchun Yatai are 9th, lower half, on 39 points after 30 matches; Dongguan United are 16th (in the drop zone) with 16. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Changchun Yatai, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Shaanxi Union, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Dongguan United, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Hebei Kungfu, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Changchun Yatai, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for Dongguan United.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Apr 2026) it ended Dongguan United 1–3 Changchun Yatai.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Changchun Yatai 2.1 xG, Dongguan United 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Changchun Yatai 57%, draw 25%, Dongguan United 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Changchun Yatai or draw (82%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Changchun Yatai 2–1 Dongguan United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Changchun Yatai57%fair 1.75 · @1.70
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.30
Dongguan United18%fair 5.52 · @4.00
3.19Expected goals
2.07Changchun Yatai xG
1.12Dongguan United xG
59%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Changchun Yatai 2.1 – 1.1 Dongguan United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChangchun Yatai to win ✓57%1.751.70
Double chanceChangchun Yatai or draw ✓82%1.221.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.691.65
Draw no betChangchun Yatai (draw no bet) ✓76%1.32–
Asian handicapDongguan United +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗60%1.65–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗78%1.28–
First team to scoreChangchun Yatai to score first ✓62%1.61–
Half-time resultChangchun Yatai ahead at half-time ✓44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Changchun Yatai / FT Changchun Yatai ✓38%2.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.12–

Recent results

Changchun Yatai – last 6

LLDWLW
14 Aug@ Shaanxi Union1–2L
8 Aug@ Suzhou Dongwu1–2L
2 Augvs Hebei Kungfu2–2D
25 Julvs Nanjing City2–1W
17 Julvs Wuxi Wugou1–5L
5 Jul@ Meizhou Kejia3–1W
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Dongguan United – last 6

LLDLLL
16 Augvs Hebei Kungfu1–2L
8 Aug@ Meizhou Kejia2–3L
1 Aug@ Guangzhou E-Power1–1D
25 Julvs Wuxi Wugou0–2L
17 Julvs Nantong Zhiyun1–2L
13 Jul@ Ningbo Professional0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Apr 2026Dongguan United v Changchun Yatai1–3
Changchun Yatai vs Dongguan United head-to-head page →

League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Guangzhou E-Power301884+2762
2Nantong Zhiyun301695+1857
3Shaanxi Union301569+2751
4Guangxi Hengchen301389+747
5Shenzhen Juniors3012117+747
6Yanbian Longding3012108+1246
7Wuxi Wugou3012711+1143
8Hebei Kungfu3011910+142
9Changchun Yatai3012711+139
10Ningbo Professional3011712-137
11Dalian Huayi3091011-537
12Nanjing City309714-834
13Suzhou Dongwu3081111-632
14Heilongjiang Lava Spring3051312-1328
15Meizhou Kejia307419-3716
16Dongguan United303720-4116

More League One predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Changchun Yatai vs Dongguan United?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Changchun Yatai vs Dongguan United?

On our numbers Changchun Yatai have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dongguan United 18%.

How many goals will there be in Changchun Yatai vs Dongguan United?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Changchun Yatai vs Dongguan United?

Our predicted score is Changchun Yatai 2–1 Dongguan United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Changchun Yatai vs Dongguan United?

Changchun Yatai vs Dongguan United (League One) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Development Area Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.