Value bet: Hebei Kungfu to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHeilongjiang Lava Spring to win ✗41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.81
Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Hebei Kungfu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Heilongjiang Lava Spring welcome Hebei Kungfu to Dingnan Football Youth Training Center for a League One fixture on Saturday 22 August (12:30 WAT). In the table, Heilongjiang Lava Spring are 14th, in the drop zone, on 28 points after 30 matches; Hebei Kungfu are 8th (upper half) with 42. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Heilongjiang Lava Spring, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Nanjing City, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Hebei Kungfu, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Dongguan United, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Hebei Kungfu, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Heilongjiang Lava Spring.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Hebei Kungfu 1–2 Heilongjiang Lava Spring.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1.4 xG, Hebei Kungfu 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Heilongjiang Lava Spring 41%, draw 23%, Hebei Kungfu 36%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Hebei Kungfu to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1–1 Hebei Kungfu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Heilongjiang Lava Spring41%fair 2.44 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.20
Hebei Kungfu36%fair 2.76 · @3.10
2.60Expected goals
1.35Heilongjiang Lava Spring xG
1.25Hebei Kungfu xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1.4 – 1.3 Hebei Kungfu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heilongjiang Lava Spring to win✗
41%
2.44
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.77
Draw no bet
Heilongjiang Lava Spring (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Hebei Kungfu +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Heilongjiang Lava Spring to score first
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heilongjiang Lava Spring / FT Heilongjiang Lava Spring✗
What is the prediction for Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Hebei Kungfu?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Hebei Kungfu?
On our numbers Heilongjiang Lava Spring have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hebei Kungfu 36%.
How many goals will there be in Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Hebei Kungfu?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Hebei Kungfu?
Our predicted score is Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1–1 Hebei Kungfu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Hebei Kungfu?
Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Hebei Kungfu (League One) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Dingnan Football Youth Training Center.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
