Value bet: Suzhou Dongwu to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHeilongjiang Lava Spring to win ✗41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.74
Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Suzhou Dongwu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 29 August the League One brings Heilongjiang Lava Spring against Suzhou Dongwu at Dingnan Football Youth Training Center. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Heilongjiang Lava Spring are 14th, in the drop zone, on 28 points after 30 matches; Suzhou Dongwu are 13th (lower half) with 32.
Current form
Heilongjiang Lava Spring, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Hebei Kungfu, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Suzhou Dongwu, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Guangxi Hengchen, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Suzhou Dongwu, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Heilongjiang Lava Spring.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1.4 xG, Suzhou Dongwu 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Heilongjiang Lava Spring 41%, draw 23%, Suzhou Dongwu 36%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Suzhou Dongwu to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1–1 Suzhou Dongwu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Heilongjiang Lava Spring41%fair 2.46 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.10
Suzhou Dongwu36%fair 2.76 · @3.00
2.66Expected goals
1.38Heilongjiang Lava Spring xG
1.28Suzhou Dongwu xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1.4 – 1.3 Suzhou Dongwu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heilongjiang Lava Spring to win✗
41%
2.46
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.73
Draw no bet
Heilongjiang Lava Spring (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Suzhou Dongwu +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Heilongjiang Lava Spring to score first
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heilongjiang Lava Spring / FT Heilongjiang Lava Spring✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.74
–
Recent results
Heilongjiang Lava Spring – last 6
LDWLDL
22 Aug
vs Hebei Kungfu
1–2
L
16 Aug
@ Nanjing City
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Dalian Huayi
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Nantong Zhiyun
1–5
L
26 Jul
@ Guangxi Hengchen
4–4
D
18 Jul
vs Ningbo Professional
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Suzhou Dongwu – last 6
DDWWDD
22 Aug
@ Guangxi Hengchen
3–3
D
16 Aug
vs Nantong Zhiyun
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Changchun Yatai
2–1
W
2 Aug
vs Meizhou Kejia
1–0
W
26 Jul
@ Dalian Huayi
0–0
D
17 Jul
vs Shenzhen Juniors
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Heilongjiang Lava Spring and Suzhou Dongwu.
What is the prediction for Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Suzhou Dongwu?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Suzhou Dongwu?
On our numbers Heilongjiang Lava Spring have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Suzhou Dongwu 36%.
How many goals will there be in Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Suzhou Dongwu?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Suzhou Dongwu?
Our predicted score is Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1–1 Suzhou Dongwu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Suzhou Dongwu?
Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Suzhou Dongwu (League One) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Dingnan Football Youth Training Center.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.