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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Changchun Yatai v Heilongjiang Lava Spring: numbers & prediction

League One · China · Development Area Stadium
Changchun Yatai 60%Draw 24%Heilongjiang Lava Spring 16% Expected goals 2.31 – 1.18
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultChangchun Yatai to win ✓60% · @1.62
Double chanceChangchun Yatai or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.41

Changchun Yatai vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:00 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Changchun Yatai v Heilongjiang Lava Spring in the League One, played at Development Area Stadium. In the table, Changchun Yatai are 9th, lower half, on 39 points after 30 matches; Heilongjiang Lava Spring are 14th (in the drop zone) with 28.

Current form

Changchun Yatai, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ningbo Professional, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Heilongjiang Lava Spring, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Shaanxi Union, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Changchun Yatai, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Heilongjiang Lava Spring.

Head to head

When they last met (9 May 2026) it ended Heilongjiang Lava Spring 2–3 Changchun Yatai.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Changchun Yatai 2.3 xG, Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1.2 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Changchun Yatai 60%, draw 24%, Heilongjiang Lava Spring 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Changchun Yatai or draw (84%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Changchun Yatai 2–1 Heilongjiang Lava Spring. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Changchun Yatai60%fair 1.67 · @1.62
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.50
Heilongjiang Lava Spring16%fair 6.30 · @4.60
3.49Expected goals
2.31Changchun Yatai xG
1.18Heilongjiang Lava Spring xG
61%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%

From our goals model: Changchun Yatai 2.3 – 1.2 Heilongjiang Lava Spring expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChangchun Yatai to win ✓60%1.671.62
Double chanceChangchun Yatai or draw ✓84%1.191.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.631.62
Draw no betChangchun Yatai (draw no bet) ✓79%1.26–
Asian handicapChangchun Yatai -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68%1.48–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓54%1.86–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
First team to scoreChangchun Yatai to score first ✓64%1.56–
Half-time resultChangchun Yatai ahead at half-time ✗47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Changchun Yatai / FT Changchun Yatai ✗41%2.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.41–

Recent results

Changchun Yatai – last 6

WLWLLD
5 Sepvs Ningbo Professional2–0W
30 Aug@ Guangzhou E-Power0–3L
23 Augvs Dongguan United6–0W
14 Aug@ Shaanxi Union1–2L
8 Aug@ Suzhou Dongwu1–2L
2 Augvs Hebei Kungfu2–2D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Heilongjiang Lava Spring – last 6

LLLDWL
5 Sep@ Shaanxi Union1–2L
29 Augvs Suzhou Dongwu3–4L
22 Augvs Hebei Kungfu1–2L
16 Aug@ Nanjing City1–1D
8 Augvs Dalian Huayi2–1W
1 Aug@ Nantong Zhiyun1–5L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 May 2026Heilongjiang Lava Spring v Changchun Yatai2–3
Changchun Yatai vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring head-to-head page →

League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Guangzhou E-Power301884+2762
2Nantong Zhiyun301695+1857
3Shaanxi Union301569+2751
4Guangxi Hengchen301389+747
5Shenzhen Juniors3012117+747
6Yanbian Longding3012108+1246
7Wuxi Wugou3012711+1143
8Hebei Kungfu3011910+142
9Changchun Yatai3012711+139
10Ningbo Professional3011712-137
11Dalian Huayi3091011-537
12Nanjing City309714-834
13Suzhou Dongwu3081111-632
14Heilongjiang Lava Spring3051312-1328
15Meizhou Kejia307419-3716
16Dongguan United303720-4116

More League One predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Changchun Yatai vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Changchun Yatai vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?

On our numbers Changchun Yatai have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Heilongjiang Lava Spring 16%.

How many goals will there be in Changchun Yatai vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Changchun Yatai vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?

Our predicted score is Changchun Yatai 2–1 Heilongjiang Lava Spring, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Changchun Yatai vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?

Changchun Yatai vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring (League One) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Development Area Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.