Heilongjiang Lava Spring 59%Draw 25%Dongguan United 16%Expected goals 2.15 – 1.11
63%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultHeilongjiang Lava Spring to win ✗59% · @1.62
Double chanceHeilongjiang Lava Spring or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Dongguan United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:30 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Heilongjiang Lava Spring v Dongguan United in the League One, played at Dingnan Football Youth Training Center. In the table, Heilongjiang Lava Spring are 14th, in the drop zone, on 28 points after 30 matches; Dongguan United are 16th (in the drop zone) with 16. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Heilongjiang Lava Spring, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Changchun Yatai, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Dongguan United, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Suzhou Dongwu, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Heilongjiang Lava Spring, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.2 for Dongguan United.
Head to head
When they last met (23 May 2026) it ended Dongguan United 1–1 Heilongjiang Lava Spring.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Heilongjiang Lava Spring 2.1 xG, Dongguan United 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Heilongjiang Lava Spring 59%, draw 25%, Dongguan United 16%.
Lower-risk option: Heilongjiang Lava Spring or draw (84%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Heilongjiang Lava Spring 2–1 Dongguan United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Heilongjiang Lava Spring59%fair 1.70 · @1.62
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.40
Dongguan United16%fair 6.11 · @4.60
3.26Expected goals
2.15Heilongjiang Lava Spring xG
1.11Dongguan United xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Heilongjiang Lava Spring 2.1 – 1.1 Dongguan United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heilongjiang Lava Spring to win✗
59%
1.70
1.62
Double chance
Heilongjiang Lava Spring or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.62
Draw no bet
Heilongjiang Lava Spring (draw no bet)
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Heilongjiang Lava Spring -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Heilongjiang Lava Spring to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Heilongjiang Lava Spring ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heilongjiang Lava Spring / FT Heilongjiang Lava Spring✗
What is the prediction for Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Dongguan United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Dongguan United?
On our numbers Heilongjiang Lava Spring have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dongguan United 16%.
How many goals will there be in Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Dongguan United?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Dongguan United?
Our predicted score is Heilongjiang Lava Spring 2–1 Dongguan United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Dongguan United?
Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Dongguan United (League One) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Dingnan Football Youth Training Center.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
