Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
1
Value bet: Heilongjiang Lava Spring to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHeilongjiang Lava Spring to win ✗57% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Meizhou Kejia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Meizhou Kejia travel to face Heilongjiang Lava Spring on Tuesday 6 October in the League One, with Dingnan Football Youth Training Center the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Heilongjiang Lava Spring are 14th, in the drop zone, on 28 points after 30 matches; Meizhou Kejia are 15th (in the drop zone) with 16. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Heilongjiang Lava Spring, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dongguan United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Meizhou Kejia, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Hebei Kungfu, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (30 May 2026) it ended Meizhou Kejia 2–2 Heilongjiang Lava Spring.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Heilongjiang Lava Spring 2.1 xG, Meizhou Kejia 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Heilongjiang Lava Spring 57%, draw 21%, Meizhou Kejia 22%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Heilongjiang Lava Spring to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Heilongjiang Lava Spring 2–1 Meizhou Kejia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Heilongjiang Lava Spring57%fair 1.75 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.30
Meizhou Kejia22%fair 4.61 · @3.20
3.25Expected goals
2.05Heilongjiang Lava Spring xG
1.20Meizhou Kejia xG
64%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Heilongjiang Lava Spring 2.1 – 1.2 Meizhou Kejia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heilongjiang Lava Spring to win✗
57%
1.75
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.62
Draw no bet
Heilongjiang Lava Spring (draw no bet)
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Meizhou Kejia +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Heilongjiang Lava Spring to score first✗
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Heilongjiang Lava Spring ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heilongjiang Lava Spring / FT Heilongjiang Lava Spring✗
What is the prediction for Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Meizhou Kejia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Meizhou Kejia?
On our numbers Heilongjiang Lava Spring have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Meizhou Kejia 22%.
How many goals will there be in Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Meizhou Kejia?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Meizhou Kejia?
Our predicted score is Heilongjiang Lava Spring 2–1 Meizhou Kejia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Meizhou Kejia?
Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Meizhou Kejia (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Dingnan Football Youth Training Center.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
