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Dongguan United v Nanjing City: numbers & prediction

League One · China · Foshan International Sports and Cultural Center
2–5
FT
Dongguan United 23%Draw 21%Nanjing City 56% Expected goals 0.97 – 1.70
56%
Betarazi pick

Nanjing City to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.78 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultNanjing City to win ✓56% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.30

Dongguan United vs Nanjing City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 24 October the League One brings Dongguan United against Nanjing City at Foshan International Sports and Cultural Center. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT. In the table, Dongguan United are 16th, in the drop zone, on 16 points after 30 matches; Nanjing City are 12th (lower half) with 34. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Dongguan United, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Yanbian Longding, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Nanjing City, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Hebei Kungfu, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Jul 2026) it ended Nanjing City 3–1 Dongguan United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dongguan United 1.0 xG, Nanjing City 1.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dongguan United 23%, draw 21%, Nanjing City 56%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Nanjing City to win (56%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dongguan United 0–1 Nanjing City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dongguan United23%fair 4.38 · @3.90
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.30
Nanjing City56%fair 1.78 · @1.75
2.67Expected goals
0.97Dongguan United xG
1.70Nanjing City xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%

From our goals model: Dongguan United 1.0 – 1.7 Nanjing City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNanjing City to win ✓56%1.781.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.821.75
Draw no betNanjing City (draw no bet) ✓71%1.41–
Asian handicapDongguan United +1 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.67–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%2.00–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗87%1.15–
First team to scoreNanjing City to score first ✓59%1.68–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nanjing City / FT Nanjing City ✓34%2.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.30–

Recent results

Dongguan United – last 6

LLWDLD
17 Oct@ Yanbian Longding0–5L
11 Oct@ Shaanxi Union1–5L
7 Octvs Guangxi Hengchen1–0W
19 Sep@ Heilongjiang Lava Spring1–1D
12 Sep@ Suzhou Dongwu2–3L
5 Sepvs Dalian Huayi0–0D
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Nanjing City – last 6

WDLLLL
18 Octvs Hebei Kungfu1–0W
11 Oct@ Ningbo Professional0–0D
7 Octvs Shaanxi Union1–4L
19 Sepvs Wuxi Wugou0–3L
13 Sep@ Meizhou Kejia1–2L
6 Sep@ Suzhou Dongwu0–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Jul 2026Nanjing City v Dongguan United3–1
Dongguan United vs Nanjing City head-to-head page →

League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Guangzhou E-Power301884+2762
2Nantong Zhiyun301695+1857
3Shaanxi Union301569+2751
4Guangxi Hengchen301389+747
5Shenzhen Juniors3012117+747
6Yanbian Longding3012108+1246
7Wuxi Wugou3012711+1143
8Hebei Kungfu3011910+142
9Changchun Yatai3012711+139
10Ningbo Professional3011712-137
11Dalian Huayi3091011-537
12Nanjing City309714-834
13Suzhou Dongwu3081111-632
14Heilongjiang Lava Spring3051312-1328
15Meizhou Kejia307419-3716
16Dongguan United303720-4116

More League One predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dongguan United vs Nanjing City?

Our pick is Nanjing City to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Dongguan United vs Nanjing City?

On our numbers Dongguan United have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nanjing City 56%.

How many goals will there be in Dongguan United vs Nanjing City?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dongguan United vs Nanjing City?

Our predicted score is Dongguan United 0–1 Nanjing City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Dongguan United vs Nanjing City?

Dongguan United vs Nanjing City (League One) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Foshan International Sports and Cultural Center.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.