Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Yanbian Longding to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHeilongjiang Lava Spring to win ✗40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.72
Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Yanbian Longding: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:30 WAT, Sunday 25 October: Heilongjiang Lava Spring v Yanbian Longding in the League One, played at Dingnan Football Youth Training Center. In the table, Heilongjiang Lava Spring are 14th, in the drop zone, on 28 points after 30 matches; Yanbian Longding are 6th (upper half) with 46. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Heilongjiang Lava Spring, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Wuxi Wugou, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Yanbian Longding, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Dongguan United, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Jul 2026) it ended Yanbian Longding 3–0 Heilongjiang Lava Spring.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1.5 xG, Yanbian Longding 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Heilongjiang Lava Spring 40%, draw 23%, Yanbian Longding 37%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Yanbian Longding to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1–1 Yanbian Longding. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Heilongjiang Lava Spring40%fair 2.51 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.10
Yanbian Longding37%fair 2.67 · @3.00
2.87Expected goals
1.46Heilongjiang Lava Spring xG
1.41Yanbian Longding xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1.5 – 1.4 Yanbian Longding expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heilongjiang Lava Spring to win✗
40%
2.51
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Draw no bet
Heilongjiang Lava Spring (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Yanbian Longding +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
First team to score
Heilongjiang Lava Spring to score first✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heilongjiang Lava Spring / FT Heilongjiang Lava Spring✗
What is the prediction for Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Yanbian Longding?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Yanbian Longding?
On our numbers Heilongjiang Lava Spring have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Yanbian Longding 37%.
How many goals will there be in Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Yanbian Longding?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Yanbian Longding?
Our predicted score is Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1–1 Yanbian Longding, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Yanbian Longding?
Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Yanbian Longding (League One) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Dingnan Football Youth Training Center.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
