Value bet: Ningbo Professional to win @ 2.95 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNingbo Professional to win ✓37% · @2.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.95
Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Ningbo Professional: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ningbo Professional travel to face Heilongjiang Lava Spring on Saturday 18 July in the League One, with Dingnan Football Youth Training Center the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Heilongjiang Lava Spring are 14th, in the drop zone, on 28 points after 30 matches; Ningbo Professional are 10th (lower half) with 37.
Current form
Heilongjiang Lava Spring, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Shenzhen Juniors, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Ningbo Professional, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Dongguan United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Ningbo Professional, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Heilongjiang Lava Spring.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1.3 xG, Ningbo Professional 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Heilongjiang Lava Spring 37%, draw 26%, Ningbo Professional 37%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Ningbo Professional to win @2.95 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1–1 Ningbo Professional. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Heilongjiang Lava Spring37%fair 2.73 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.10
Ningbo Professional37%fair 2.71 · @2.95
2.68Expected goals
1.32Heilongjiang Lava Spring xG
1.36Ningbo Professional xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1.3 – 1.4 Ningbo Professional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ningbo Professional to win✓
37%
2.71
2.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Ningbo Professional (draw no bet)✓
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Heilongjiang Lava Spring +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Ningbo Professional to score first✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ningbo Professional / FT Ningbo Professional✗
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.95
–
Recent results
Heilongjiang Lava Spring – last 6
DLDLDD
12 Jul
@ Shenzhen Juniors
3–3
D
4 Jul
@ Yanbian Longding
0–3
L
28 Jun
vs Wuxi Wugou
3–3
D
13 Jun
vs Guangzhou E-Power
1–3
L
30 May
@ Meizhou Kejia
2–2
D
23 May
@ Dongguan United
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Ningbo Professional – last 6
WWWLWD
13 Jul
vs Dongguan United
1–0
W
4 Jul
vs Hebei Kungfu
2–1
W
28 Jun
@ Suzhou Dongwu
2–1
W
20 Jun
vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
0–2
L
13 Jun
@ Nanjing City
2–1
W
29 May
vs Nantong Zhiyun
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Heilongjiang Lava Spring and Ningbo Professional.
What is the prediction for Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Ningbo Professional?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Ningbo Professional?
On our numbers Heilongjiang Lava Spring have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ningbo Professional 37%.
How many goals will there be in Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Ningbo Professional?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Ningbo Professional?
Our predicted score is Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1–1 Ningbo Professional, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Ningbo Professional?
Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Ningbo Professional (League One) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Dingnan Football Youth Training Center.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
