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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Portugal v Wales: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe

Wales

LDD

Portugal 69%Draw 18%Wales 13%

69%

Betarazi pick

Portugal to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

7/10Rating

1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultPortugal to win ✓69% · @1.20

Double chancePortugal or draw ✓87% · @1.03

Portugal vs Wales: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Portugal welcome Wales for a UEFA Nations League fixture on Thursday 24 September (19:45 WAT). In the table, Portugal are 1st on 12 points after 4 matches; Wales are 3rd with 3.

Current form

Portugal, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Spain, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Wales, last 3: LDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Romania, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Portugal, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Wales.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Portugal 69%, draw 18%, Wales 13%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Portugal to win (69%, odds 1.20). Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Portugal69%fair 1.45 · @1.20

Draw18%fair 5.57 · @6.00

Wales13%fair 7.63 · @13.00

Score grid: top six

Goal projections appear once goal data is in.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Portugal to win ✓	69%	1.45	1.20
Double chance	Portugal or draw ✓	87%	1.15	1.03
Draw no bet	Portugal (draw no bet) ✓	84%	1.19	–

Recent results

Portugal – last 6

LWDWDW

6 Jul	vs Spain	0–1	L
3 Jul	vs Croatia	2–1	W
28 Jun	@ Colombia	0–0	D
23 Jun	vs Uzbekistan	5–0	W
17 Jun	vs Congo DR	1–1	D
10 Jun	vs Nigeria	2–1	W

1.7Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Wales – last 3

LDD

6 Jun	@ Romania	1–2	L
2 Jun	vs Ghana	1–1	D
31 Mar	vs Northern Ireland	1–1	D

1.0Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

100%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Portugal and Wales.

Portugal vs Wales head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	4	4	0	+5	12
2	Denmark	4	2	2	0	6
3	Wales	4	1	3	-3	3
4	Norway	4	1	3	-2	3

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub

Andorra1

Malta2 123%3.60X27%2.62249%2.38 X2Malta or draw 77%@1.29 ✓

Netherlands1

Germany1 139%2.38X21%3.50240%2.62 12Either team to win 79%@1.29 ✗

Serbia1

Greece2 123%2.62X53%3.10224%2.60 X2Greece or draw 77%@1.50 ✓

Norway3

Denmark2 161%1.70X20%3.80219%4.20 1XNorway or draw 81%@1.20 ✓

Austria3

Israel1 169%1.40X19%4.75212%6.50 1Austria to win 69%@1.40 ✓

Kosovo1

Rep. Of Ireland0 126%2.40X53%3.00221%3.00 1XKosovo or draw 79%@1.36 ✓

Liechtenstein0

Lithuania2 112%11.00X22%4.50266%1.30 2Lithuania to win 66%@1.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Portugal vs Wales?

Our pick is Portugal to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Portugal vs Wales?

On our numbers Portugal have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Wales 13%.

When is Portugal vs Wales?

Portugal vs Wales (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.