Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.38 – our chance 53% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAl Faisaly to win ✗67% · @1.20
Double chanceAl Faisaly or draw ✓87% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.38
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Faisaly: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Friday 6 March: Sama Al Sarhan v Al Faisaly in the League.
Current form
Sama Al Sarhan, last 3: LDL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Al Faisaly, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Feb 2026) it ended Al Faisaly 4–0 Sama Al Sarhan.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sama Al Sarhan 0.9 xG, Al Faisaly 2.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sama Al Sarhan 13%, draw 20%, Al Faisaly 67%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.38.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sama Al Sarhan 0–2 Al Faisaly. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sama Al Sarhan13%fair 7.60 · @14.00
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @5.20
Al Faisaly67%fair 1.49 · @1.20
2.86Expected goals
0.86Sama Al Sarhan xG
2.00Al Faisaly xG
53%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Sama Al Sarhan 0.9 – 2.0 Al Faisaly expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Faisaly?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Faisaly?
On our numbers Sama Al Sarhan have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Al Faisaly 67%.
How many goals will there be in Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Faisaly?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Faisaly?
Our predicted score is Sama Al Sarhan 0–2 Al Faisaly, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Faisaly?
Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Faisaly (League) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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