Wednesday 11 November 2026 21 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Municipal Salamanca v Real San Joaquín: numbers & prediction

Segunda División · Chile · Estadio Municipal de Salamanca
Municipal Salamanca 53%Draw 25%Real San Joaquín 23% Expected goals 1.49 – 0.93
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultMunicipal Salamanca to win ✗53% · @1.80
Double chanceMunicipal Salamanca or draw ✓77% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.88

Municipal Salamanca vs Real San Joaquín: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Real San Joaquín travel to face Municipal Salamanca on Sunday 28 June in the Segunda División, with Estadio Municipal de Salamanca the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Municipal Salamanca are 2nd, among the top four, on 22 points after 12 matches; Real San Joaquín are 9th (lower half) with 13.

Current form

Municipal Salamanca, last 3: WDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Colina, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Real San Joaquín, last 3: WLD Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Provincial Ovalle, away. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Municipal Salamanca 1.5 xG, Real San Joaquín 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Municipal Salamanca 53%, draw 25%, Real San Joaquín 23%.
  • Lower-risk option: Municipal Salamanca or draw (77%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Municipal Salamanca 1–0 Real San Joaquín. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Municipal Salamanca53%fair 1.90 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.20
Real San Joaquín23%fair 4.42 · @4.20
2.42Expected goals
1.49Municipal Salamanca xG
0.93Real San Joaquín xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%

From our goals model: Municipal Salamanca 1.5 – 0.9 Real San Joaquín expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMunicipal Salamanca to win ✗53%1.901.80
Double chanceMunicipal Salamanca or draw ✓77%1.291.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.801.95 ▲
Draw no betMunicipal Salamanca (draw no bet)70%1.43–
Asian handicapReal San Joaquín +1 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗68%1.471.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.751.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.291.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreMunicipal Salamanca to score first ✗56%1.78–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Municipal Salamanca / FT Municipal Salamanca ✗30%3.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.88–

Recent results

Municipal Salamanca – last 3

WDD
21 Jun@ Colina2–1W
31 Mayvs Santiago City0–0D
25 May@ Provincial Ovalle1–1D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Real San Joaquín – last 3

WLD
21 Jun@ Provincial Ovalle6–1W
7 Junvs Concón National0–1L
25 May@ Santiago City2–2D
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Municipal Salamanca and Real San Joaquín.

Municipal Salamanca vs Real San Joaquín head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Provincial Osorno12660+1024
2Municipal Salamanca12570+622
3Colchagua12642+422
4Concón National12633+621
5Santiago City12552-120
6Linares Unido12615+419
7Trasandino12534+218
8General Velásquez12516-416
9Real San Joaquín12345-113
10Lota Schwager12345-213
11Colina12336+112
12Deportes Rengo12327-711
13Santiago Morning12246-510
14Provincial Ovalle12138-136

More Segunda División predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Municipal Salamanca vs Real San Joaquín?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Municipal Salamanca vs Real San Joaquín?

On our numbers Municipal Salamanca have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Real San Joaquín 23%.

How many goals will there be in Municipal Salamanca vs Real San Joaquín?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Municipal Salamanca vs Real San Joaquín?

Our predicted score is Municipal Salamanca 1–0 Real San Joaquín, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Municipal Salamanca vs Real San Joaquín?

Municipal Salamanca vs Real San Joaquín (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Salamanca.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.