Provincial Ovalle vs Colina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Colina travel to face Provincial Ovalle on Saturday 4 July in the Segunda División, with Estadio Diaguita the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Provincial Ovalle are 14th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 12 matches; Colina are 11th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Provincial Ovalle, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Santiago City, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Colina, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Concón National, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Provincial Ovalle 1.2 xG, Colina 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Provincial Ovalle 33%, draw 26%, Colina 41%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Provincial Ovalle 1–1 Colina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Provincial Ovalle33%fair 3.00 · @2.80
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.30
Colina41%fair 2.46 · @2.25
2.50Expected goals
1.20Provincial Ovalle xG
1.30Colina xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Provincial Ovalle 1.2 – 1.3 Colina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colina to win✗
41%
2.46
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.70
Draw no bet
Colina (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Provincial Ovalle +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Colina to score first
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colina / FT Colina✗
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.01
–
Recent results
Provincial Ovalle – last 6
LLDLDL
26 Jun
@ Santiago City
2–3
L
21 Jun
vs Real San Joaquín
1–6
L
8 Jun
vs Trasandino
1–1
D
30 May
@ Concón National
0–1
L
25 May
vs Municipal Salamanca
1–1
D
27 Apr
vs Santiago City
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Colina – last 5
DLLLL
27 Jun
@ Concón National
1–1
D
21 Jun
vs Municipal Salamanca
1–2
L
6 Jun
@ Santiago City
0–1
L
31 May
vs Trasandino
1–2
L
26 Apr
vs Concón National
0–1
L
0.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Provincial Ovalle and Colina.
What is the prediction for Provincial Ovalle vs Colina?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Provincial Ovalle vs Colina?
On our numbers Provincial Ovalle have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Colina 41%.
How many goals will there be in Provincial Ovalle vs Colina?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Provincial Ovalle vs Colina?
Our predicted score is Provincial Ovalle 1–1 Colina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Provincial Ovalle vs Colina?
Provincial Ovalle vs Colina (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Diaguita.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
