Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.41 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.41Odds
1
Value bet: BFA to win @ 3.25 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDainava to win ✗40% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.40
BFA vs Dainava: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 4 April the 1 Lyga brings BFA against Dainava at Sirvintu stadionas. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, BFA are 6th, upper half, on 50 points after 30 matches; Dainava are 7th (upper half) with 48. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give BFA 1.4 xG, Dainava 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – BFA 35%, draw 25%, Dainava 40%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: BFA to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (67%, odds 1.41). Most likely score in line with that pick: BFA 1–1 Dainava. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
BFA35%fair 2.87 · @3.25
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.40
Dainava40%fair 2.51 · @1.97
2.79Expected goals
1.44BFA xG
1.35Dainava xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: BFA 1.4 – 1.4 Dainava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
BFA
Dainava
Attack vs 1 Lyga average
+13%
-9%
Goals conceded vs average
-14%
-28%
Our expected goals here
1.38
1.04
Our own ratings from every 1 Lyga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dainava to win✗
40%
2.51
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.21
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.57
Draw no bet
Dainava (draw no bet)
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Dainava +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.19
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.63
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.41
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.15
First team to score
BFA to score first✗
48%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT BFA / FT BFA✗
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.40
–
Recent results
BFA – last 2
WL
17 Mar
vs FA Šiauliai II
1–0
W
13 Mar
@ Be1 NFA
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dainava – last 2
LL
28 Mar
@ Tauras
1–2
L
22 Mar
@ Babrungas
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between BFA and Dainava.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win BFA vs Dainava?
On our numbers BFA have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dainava 40%.
How many goals will there be in BFA vs Dainava?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BFA vs Dainava?
Our predicted score is BFA 1–1 Dainava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is BFA vs Dainava?
BFA vs Dainava (1 Lyga) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Sirvintu stadionas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
