Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.02 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNeptūną Klaipėda to win ✗48% · @1.57
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.80
Neptūną Klaipėda vs BFA: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
BFA travel to face Neptūną Klaipėda on Friday 17 April in the 1 Lyga, with Klaipedosmiesto Centrinis the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Neptūną Klaipėda are 8th, upper half, on 45 points after 30 matches; BFA are 6th (upper half) with 50.
Current form
Neptūną Klaipėda, last 4: LWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Babrungas, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
BFA, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Dainava, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Neptūną Klaipėda 1.2 xG, BFA 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Neptūną Klaipėda 48%, draw 25%, BFA 27%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.71.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @2.02 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Neptūną Klaipėda 1–1 BFA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Neptūną Klaipėda48%fair 2.11 · @1.57
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.75
BFA27%fair 3.67 · @4.90
2.22Expected goals
1.17Neptūną Klaipėda xG
1.05BFA xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Neptūną Klaipėda 1.2 – 1.1 BFA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Neptūną Klaipėda
BFA
Attack vs 1 Lyga average
-30%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
-11%
-14%
Our expected goals here
1.02
1.34
Our own ratings from every 1 Lyga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Neptūną Klaipėda to win✗
48%
2.11
1.57
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.71
Draw no bet
Neptūną Klaipėda (draw no bet)✗
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
BFA +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.19
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
2.02 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.16
1.13
First team to score
Neptūną Klaipėda to score first
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Neptūną Klaipėda / FT Neptūną Klaipėda✗
22%
4.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.80
–
Recent results
Neptūną Klaipėda – last 4
LWLD
4 Apr
@ Babrungas
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Tauras
1–0
W
17 Mar
vs Garliava
0–3
L
13 Mar
@ FA Šiauliai II
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
BFA – last 3
DWL
4 Apr
vs Dainava
0–0
D
17 Mar
vs FA Šiauliai II
1–0
W
13 Mar
@ Be1 NFA
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Neptūną Klaipėda and BFA.
What is the prediction for Neptūną Klaipėda vs BFA?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Neptūną Klaipėda vs BFA?
On our numbers Neptūną Klaipėda have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and BFA 27%.
How many goals will there be in Neptūną Klaipėda vs BFA?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Neptūną Klaipėda vs BFA?
Our predicted score is Neptūną Klaipėda 1–1 BFA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Neptūną Klaipėda vs BFA?
Neptūną Klaipėda vs BFA (1 Lyga) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Klaipedosmiesto Centrinis.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
