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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kingborough Lions v Glenorchy Knights: numbers & prediction

Tasmania NPL · Australia

Kingborough Lions

WLLWW
3–1
FT

Glenorchy Knights

LLWLL
Kingborough Lions 65%Draw 20%Glenorchy Knights 15% Expected goals 2.31 – 0.93
65%
Betarazi pick

Kingborough Lions to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultKingborough Lions to win ✓65% · @1.53
Double chanceKingborough Lions or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.35
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29

Kingborough Lions vs Glenorchy Knights: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 18 April the Tasmania NPL brings Kingborough Lions against Glenorchy Knights. Kick-off: 05:30 WAT.

Current form

Kingborough Lions, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Ulverstone, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Glenorchy Knights, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Clarence Zebras, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Kingborough Lions, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.6 for Glenorchy Knights.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kingborough Lions 2.3 xG, Glenorchy Knights 0.9 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kingborough Lions 65%, draw 20%, Glenorchy Knights 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Kingborough Lions or draw (85%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.35.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Kingborough Lions to win (65%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kingborough Lions 2–0 Glenorchy Knights. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kingborough Lions65%fair 1.53 · @1.53
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @4.20
Glenorchy Knights15%fair 6.71 · @4.60
3.24Expected goals
2.31Kingborough Lions xG
0.93Glenorchy Knights xG
64%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–18%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Kingborough Lions 2.3 – 0.9 Glenorchy Knights expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKingborough Lions to win ✓65%1.531.53
Double chanceKingborough Lions or draw ✓85%1.181.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.561.35
Draw no betKingborough Lions (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapKingborough Lions -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗59%1.68–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
First team to scoreKingborough Lions to score first68%1.46–
Half-time resultKingborough Lions ahead at half-time ✓50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kingborough Lions / FT Kingborough Lions ✓45%2.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.29–

Recent results

Kingborough Lions – last 5

WLLWW
11 Aprvs Ulverstone5–1W
28 Mar@ Devonport City0–1L
21 Mar@ South Hobart1–5L
14 Marvs South East Utd.2–0W
7 Marvs Riverside1–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Glenorchy Knights – last 5

LLWLL
11 Apr@ Clarence Zebras0–2L
27 Marvs South Hobart1–2L
21 Marvs South East Utd.3–1W
14 Mar@ Riverside0–3L
7 Mar@ Launceston City1–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Kingborough Lions and Glenorchy Knights.

Kingborough Lions vs Glenorchy Knights head-to-head page →

More Tasmania NPL predictions

FT Riverside2 Launceston United0 169%1.30X19%4.80213%8.00 2.6–1.1xG 1Riverside to win 69%@1.30 ✓
FT Launceston City2 Clarence Zebras0 160%1.22X20%5.80220%9.50 2.1–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.35 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kingborough Lions vs Glenorchy Knights?

Our pick is Kingborough Lions to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Kingborough Lions vs Glenorchy Knights?

On our numbers Kingborough Lions have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Glenorchy Knights 15%.

How many goals will there be in Kingborough Lions vs Glenorchy Knights?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kingborough Lions vs Glenorchy Knights?

Our predicted score is Kingborough Lions 2–0 Glenorchy Knights, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Kingborough Lions vs Glenorchy Knights?

Kingborough Lions vs Glenorchy Knights (Tasmania NPL) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 05:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.