Value bet: Kingborough Lions to win @ 2.30 – our chance 51% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKingborough Lions to win ✓51% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.29
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.63
Kingborough Lions vs Launceston City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 2 May the Tasmania NPL brings Kingborough Lions against Launceston City. Kick-off: 05:30 WAT.
Current form
Kingborough Lions, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Glenorchy Knights, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Launceston City, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Clarence Zebras, at home. 3.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Launceston City, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Kingborough Lions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kingborough Lions 2.5 xG, Launceston City 1.5 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kingborough Lions 51%, draw 19%, Launceston City 30%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.29.
Price worth noting: Kingborough Lions to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kingborough Lions 2–1 Launceston City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kingborough Lions51%fair 1.96 · @2.30
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @3.80
Launceston City30%fair 3.34 · @2.40
4.01Expected goals
2.53Kingborough Lions xG
1.48Launceston City xG
69%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: Kingborough Lions 2.5 – 1.5 Launceston City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kingborough Lions to win✓
51%
1.96
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.44
1.29
Draw no bet
Kingborough Lions (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Kingborough Lions -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
Kingborough Lions to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Kingborough Lions ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kingborough Lions / FT Kingborough Lions✓
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.63
–
Recent results
Kingborough Lions – last 6
WWLLWW
18 Apr
vs Glenorchy Knights
3–1
W
11 Apr
vs Ulverstone
5–1
W
28 Mar
@ Devonport City
0–1
L
21 Mar
@ South Hobart
1–5
L
14 Mar
vs South East Utd.
2–0
W
7 Mar
vs Riverside
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Launceston City – last 6
WWWLWW
18 Apr
vs Clarence Zebras
2–0
W
10 Apr
@ Launceston United
7–1
W
28 Mar
@ South East Utd.
6–1
W
20 Mar
vs Riverside
2–3
L
14 Mar
vs Ulverstone
4–0
W
7 Mar
vs Glenorchy Knights
2–1
W
3.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kingborough Lions and Launceston City.
What is the prediction for Kingborough Lions vs Launceston City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Kingborough Lions vs Launceston City?
On our numbers Kingborough Lions have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Launceston City 30%.
How many goals will there be in Kingborough Lions vs Launceston City?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kingborough Lions vs Launceston City?
Our predicted score is Kingborough Lions 2–1 Launceston City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Kingborough Lions vs Launceston City?
Kingborough Lions vs Launceston City (Tasmania NPL) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 05:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tasmania NPL · Australia
South Hobart3
Devonport City2
Clarence Zebras4
Riverside0
Glenorchy Knights2
Ulverstone1
Launceston United4
South East Utd.6