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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Launceston United v Kingborough Lions: numbers & prediction

Tasmania NPL · Australia
Launceston United 5%Draw 11%Kingborough Lions 83% Expected goals 0.91 – 3.31
95%
Betarazi pick

Kingborough Lions or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.06 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultKingborough Lions to win ✓83% · @1.05
Double chanceKingborough Lions or draw ✓95% · fair 1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓82% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8% · fair 12.38

Launceston United vs Kingborough Lions: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Launceston United welcome Kingborough Lions for a Tasmania NPL fixture on Saturday 9 May (07:45 WAT).

Current form

Launceston United, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 4–6 defeat to South East Utd., at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.2 conceded per game.

Kingborough Lions, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Launceston City, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Kingborough Lions, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.2 for Launceston United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Launceston United 0.9 xG, Kingborough Lions 3.3 xG – a total near 4.2. That is an open game on paper: 82% for three or more goals, 50% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Launceston United 5%, draw 11%, Kingborough Lions 83%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Kingborough Lions or draw (95%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Launceston United 0–3 Kingborough Lions. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Launceston United5%fair 18.25 · @23.00
Draw11%fair 8.76 · @15.00
Kingborough Lions83%fair 1.20 · @1.05
4.22Expected goals
0.91Launceston United xG
3.31Kingborough Lions xG
50%Both score
82%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–39%
1–38%
0–28%
0–47%
1–27%
1–47%

From our goals model: Launceston United 0.9 – 3.3 Kingborough Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKingborough Lions to win ✓83%1.201.05
Double chanceKingborough Lions or draw ✓95%1.06–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%1.99–
Draw no betKingborough Lions (draw no bet) ✓94%1.07–
Asian handicapKingborough Lions -1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓82%1.211.10
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗59%1.71–
First team to scoreKingborough Lions to score first77%1.29–
Half-time resultKingborough Lions ahead at half-time ✓64%1.57–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kingborough Lions / FT Kingborough Lions ✓61%1.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8%12.38–

Recent results

Launceston United – last 6

LLLLDL
2 Mayvs South East Utd.4–6L
18 Apr@ Riverside0–2L
10 Aprvs Launceston City1–7L
28 Marvs Clarence Zebras0–1L
22 Mar@ Ulverstone1–1D
14 Mar@ Devonport City0–2L
1.0Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Kingborough Lions – last 6

WWWLLW
2 Mayvs Launceston City2–1W
18 Aprvs Glenorchy Knights3–1W
11 Aprvs Ulverstone5–1W
28 Mar@ Devonport City0–1L
21 Mar@ South Hobart1–5L
14 Marvs South East Utd.2–0W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Launceston United and Kingborough Lions.

Launceston United vs Kingborough Lions head-to-head page →

More Tasmania NPL predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Launceston United vs Kingborough Lions?

Our pick is Kingborough Lions or draw with a 95% chance.

Who will win Launceston United vs Kingborough Lions?

On our numbers Launceston United have a 5% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Kingborough Lions 83%.

How many goals will there be in Launceston United vs Kingborough Lions?

We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 82% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Launceston United vs Kingborough Lions?

Our predicted score is Launceston United 0–3 Kingborough Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.

When is Launceston United vs Kingborough Lions?

Launceston United vs Kingborough Lions (Tasmania NPL) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 07:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.