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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Clarence Zebras v Kingborough Lions: numbers & prediction

Tasmania NPL · Australia
Clarence Zebras 24%Draw 19%Kingborough Lions 57% Expected goals 1.31 – 2.11
71%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultKingborough Lions to win ✓57% · @1.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.50

Clarence Zebras vs Kingborough Lions: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Clarence Zebras welcome Kingborough Lions for a Tasmania NPL fixture on Saturday 23 May (05:30 WAT).

Current form

Clarence Zebras, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Ulverstone, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Kingborough Lions, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 7–1 win over Launceston United, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Clarence Zebras 1.3 xG, Kingborough Lions 2.1 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Clarence Zebras 24%, draw 19%, Kingborough Lions 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Clarence Zebras 1–2 Kingborough Lions. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Clarence Zebras24%fair 4.22 · @3.60
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @4.20
Kingborough Lions57%fair 1.76 · @1.65
3.43Expected goals
1.31Clarence Zebras xG
2.11Kingborough Lions xG
54%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–19%
0–27%
0–17%
1–37%
2–26%

From our goals model: Clarence Zebras 1.3 – 2.1 Kingborough Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKingborough Lions to win ✓57%1.761.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.85–
Draw no betKingborough Lions (draw no bet) ✓71%1.42–
Asian handicapClarence Zebras +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71%1.411.25
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗55%1.81–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
First team to scoreKingborough Lions to score first ✓60%1.68–
Half-time resultKingborough Lions ahead at half-time ✓42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kingborough Lions / FT Kingborough Lions ✓35%2.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.50–

Recent results

Clarence Zebras – last 6

WWLWWL
10 May@ Ulverstone4–0W
2 Mayvs Riverside4–0W
18 Apr@ Launceston City0–2L
11 Aprvs Glenorchy Knights2–0W
28 Mar@ Launceston United1–0W
15 Mar@ South Hobart0–2L
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Kingborough Lions – last 6

WWWWLL
9 May@ Launceston United7–1W
2 Mayvs Launceston City2–1W
18 Aprvs Glenorchy Knights3–1W
11 Aprvs Ulverstone5–1W
28 Mar@ Devonport City0–1L
21 Mar@ South Hobart1–5L
3.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Clarence Zebras and Kingborough Lions.

Clarence Zebras vs Kingborough Lions head-to-head page →

More Tasmania NPL predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Clarence Zebras vs Kingborough Lions?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Clarence Zebras vs Kingborough Lions?

On our numbers Clarence Zebras have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Kingborough Lions 57%.

How many goals will there be in Clarence Zebras vs Kingborough Lions?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Clarence Zebras vs Kingborough Lions?

Our predicted score is Clarence Zebras 1–2 Kingborough Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Clarence Zebras vs Kingborough Lions?

Clarence Zebras vs Kingborough Lions (Tasmania NPL) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 05:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.