Value bet: Kingborough Lions to win @ 3.35 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSouth Hobart to win ✗45% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.61
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.40
Kingborough Lions vs South Hobart: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 21 June the Tasmania NPL brings Kingborough Lions against South Hobart at Lightwood Park. Kick-off: 04:15 WAT.
Current form
Kingborough Lions, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 9–0 win over South East Utd., away. 4.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
South Hobart, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Clarence Zebras, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 4.2 goals per game.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Mar 2026) it ended South Hobart 5–1 Kingborough Lions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kingborough Lions 2.1 xG, South Hobart 2.0 xG – a total near 4.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 78% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kingborough Lions 34%, draw 21%, South Hobart 45%.
Price worth noting: Kingborough Lions to win @3.35 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 3.5 goals (57%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kingborough Lions 2–2 South Hobart. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kingborough Lions34%fair 2.91 · @3.35
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @4.00
South Hobart45%fair 2.23 · @1.75
4.12Expected goals
2.10Kingborough Lions xG
2.02South Hobart xG
62%Both score
78%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–27%
2–17%
1–27%
1–17%
3–25%
3–15%
From our goals model: Kingborough Lions 2.1 – 2.0 South Hobart expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Kingborough Lions vs South Hobart?
Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Kingborough Lions vs South Hobart?
On our numbers Kingborough Lions have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and South Hobart 45%.
How many goals will there be in Kingborough Lions vs South Hobart?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kingborough Lions vs South Hobart?
Our predicted score is Kingborough Lions 2–2 South Hobart, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Kingborough Lions vs South Hobart?
Kingborough Lions vs South Hobart (Tasmania NPL) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 04:15 (West Africa Time) at Lightwood Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tasmania NPL · Australia · Lightwood Park
