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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ulverstone v Glenorchy Knights: numbers & prediction

Tasmania NPL · Australia · Westside Park

Ulverstone

LWLLL
0–2
FT

Glenorchy Knights

LDLLD
Ulverstone 23%Draw 20%Glenorchy Knights 58% Expected goals 1.27 – 2.02
58%
Betarazi pick

Glenorchy Knights to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.74 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.48Odds

Picks by market

ResultGlenorchy Knights to win ✓58% · @1.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.36

Ulverstone vs Glenorchy Knights: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ulverstone welcome Glenorchy Knights to Westside Park for a Tasmania NPL fixture on Sunday 19 July (05:30 WAT).

Current form

Ulverstone, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to South Hobart, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Glenorchy Knights, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Kingborough Lions, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (2 May 2026) it ended Glenorchy Knights 2–1 Ulverstone.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ulverstone 1.3 xG, Glenorchy Knights 2.0 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 52% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ulverstone 23%, draw 20%, Glenorchy Knights 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Glenorchy Knights to win (58%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ulverstone 1–2 Glenorchy Knights. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ulverstone23%fair 4.42 · @4.20
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @4.75
Glenorchy Knights58%fair 1.74 · @1.48
3.29Expected goals
1.27Ulverstone xG
2.02Glenorchy Knights xG
52%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–110%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
2–26%

From our goals model: Ulverstone 1.3 – 2.0 Glenorchy Knights expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGlenorchy Knights to win ✓58%1.741.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.93–
Draw no betGlenorchy Knights (draw no bet) ✓72%1.39–
Asian handicapUlverstone +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓53%1.891.90
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
First team to scoreGlenorchy Knights to score first ✓59%1.69–
Half-time resultGlenorchy Knights ahead at half-time ✗41%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Glenorchy Knights / FT Glenorchy Knights ✗35%2.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.36–

Recent results

Ulverstone – last 6

LWLLLL
11 Jul@ South Hobart0–2L
4 Julvs Kingborough Lions2–1W
27 Jun@ Riverside0–6L
20 Jun@ Launceston United2–3L
14 Junvs Launceston City1–3L
30 May@ Devonport City0–1L
0.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Glenorchy Knights – last 6

LDLLDL
10 Julvs Kingborough Lions0–2L
4 Julvs Clarence Zebras2–2D
27 Jun@ South Hobart1–6L
20 Jun@ South East Utd.0–1L
13 Junvs Riverside1–1D
30 Mayvs Launceston City1–2L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 May 2026Glenorchy Knights v Ulverstone2–1
Ulverstone vs Glenorchy Knights head-to-head page →

More Tasmania NPL predictions

FT South East Utd.4 Launceston United1 161%1.75X17%4.10221%3.30 2.7–1.4xG 1South East Utd. to win 61%@1.75 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ulverstone vs Glenorchy Knights?

Our pick is Glenorchy Knights to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Ulverstone vs Glenorchy Knights?

On our numbers Ulverstone have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Glenorchy Knights 58%.

How many goals will there be in Ulverstone vs Glenorchy Knights?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ulverstone vs Glenorchy Knights?

Our predicted score is Ulverstone 1–2 Glenorchy Knights, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Ulverstone vs Glenorchy Knights?

Ulverstone vs Glenorchy Knights (Tasmania NPL) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 05:30 (West Africa Time) at Westside Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.