Value bet: Valmiera BSS to win @ 2.55 – our chance 50% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultValmiera BSS to win ✓50% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.66
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.68
Rīgas FS II vs Valmiera BSS: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rīgas FS II welcome Valmiera BSS for a 1. Liga fixture on Sunday 29 March (13:00 WAT). In the table, Rīgas FS II are 11th, lower half, on 24 points after 26 matches; Valmiera BSS are 2nd (among the top four) with 60. There are 36 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rīgas FS II 1.7 xG, Valmiera BSS 2.6 xG – a total near 4.3. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rīgas FS II 30%, draw 20%, Valmiera BSS 50%.
Price worth noting: Valmiera BSS to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.44 – longer than our fair 1.39, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rīgas FS II 1–2 Valmiera BSS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rīgas FS II30%fair 3.31 · @2.25
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.60
Valmiera BSS50%fair 2.01 · @2.55
4.26Expected goals
1.69Rīgas FS II xG
2.57Valmiera BSS xG
60%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
1–37%
2–27%
1–16%
2–36%
2–15%
From our goals model: Rīgas FS II 1.7 – 2.6 Valmiera BSS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valmiera BSS to win✓
50%
2.01
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
–
Draw no bet
Valmiera BSS (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Rīgas FS II +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
First team to score
Valmiera BSS to score first✗
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Valmiera BSS ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valmiera BSS / FT Valmiera BSS✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.68
–
Recent results
Rīgas FS II – last 1
D
22 Mar
vs Smiltene
3–3
D
3.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Valmiera BSS
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rīgas FS II and Valmiera BSS.
What is the prediction for Rīgas FS II vs Valmiera BSS?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Rīgas FS II vs Valmiera BSS?
On our numbers Rīgas FS II have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Valmiera BSS 50%.
How many goals will there be in Rīgas FS II vs Valmiera BSS?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rīgas FS II vs Valmiera BSS?
Our predicted score is Rīgas FS II 1–2 Valmiera BSS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Rīgas FS II vs Valmiera BSS?
Rīgas FS II vs Valmiera BSS (1. Liga) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
