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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Super Nova 2 v Riga Mariners: numbers & prediction

1. Liga · Latvia · Sporta centrs Krasts
0–3
FT
Super Nova 2 23%Draw 21%Riga Mariners 57% Expected goals 1.17 – 1.99
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultRiga Mariners to win ✓57% · @1.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.18

Super Nova 2 vs Riga Mariners: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Friday 31 July: Super Nova 2 v Riga Mariners in the 1. Liga, played at Sporta centrs Krasts. In the table, Super Nova 2 are 8th, lower half, on 29 points after 26 matches; Riga Mariners are 3rd (among the top four) with 59. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Super Nova 2, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with JDFS Alberts, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Riga Mariners, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with JFK Ventspils, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Riga Mariners, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Super Nova 2.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Super Nova 2 1.2 xG, Riga Mariners 2.0 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Super Nova 2 23%, draw 21%, Riga Mariners 57%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Super Nova 2 1–1 Riga Mariners. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Super Nova 223%fair 4.44 · @4.00
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @4.00
Riga Mariners57%fair 1.76 · @1.62
3.16Expected goals
1.17Super Nova 2 xG
1.99Riga Mariners xG
61%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–28%
1–37%
2–16%

From our goals model: Super Nova 2 1.2 – 2.0 Riga Mariners expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRiga Mariners to win ✓57%1.761.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.631.50
Draw no betRiga Mariners (draw no bet) ✓72%1.40–
Asian handicapSuper Nova 2 +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
First team to scoreRiga Mariners to score first ✓60%1.66–
Half-time resultRiga Mariners ahead at half-time ✓42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Riga Mariners / FT Riga Mariners ✓35%2.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.18–

Recent results

Super Nova 2 – last 6

DLDWLD
25 Jul@ JDFS Alberts1–1D
19 Jul@ Riga FC II1–2L
5 Jul@ Rīgas FS II1–1D
27 Junvs Tukums II3–1W
13 Jun@ Metta LU3–7L
26 Mayvs Valmiera BSS0–0D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Riga Mariners – last 6

DLDWWW
25 Julvs JFK Ventspils1–1D
18 Jul@ Leevon PPK1–2L
11 Julvs BFC Daugavpils3–3D
4 Jul@ JDFS Alberts4–0W
27 Junvs Mārupe2–0W
20 Junvs JDFS Alberts1–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Super Nova 2 and Riga Mariners.

Super Nova 2 vs Riga Mariners head-to-head page →

1. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Metta / LU262231+8569
2Valmiera / BSS261862+4160
3Riga Mariners261853+3259
4Leevon / PPK261664+1954
5JDFS Alberts261457+1847
6Riga FC II261079+137
7Mārupe2610412-634
8Super Nova 2267811-629
9Smiltene267613-2027
10Skanste268216-626
11Rīgas FS II267316-2624
12Tukums II265516-4020
13JFK Ventspils264715-2119
14Rēzekne FA261322-716

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Super Nova 2 vs Riga Mariners?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Super Nova 2 vs Riga Mariners?

On our numbers Super Nova 2 have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Riga Mariners 57%.

How many goals will there be in Super Nova 2 vs Riga Mariners?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Super Nova 2 vs Riga Mariners?

Our predicted score is Super Nova 2 1–1 Riga Mariners, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Super Nova 2 vs Riga Mariners?

Super Nova 2 vs Riga Mariners (1. Liga) kicks off on Friday 31 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Sporta centrs Krasts.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.