JFK Ventspils 49%Draw 22%Smiltene 29%Expected goals 1.83 – 1.57
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultJFK Ventspils to win ✗49% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.39
JFK Ventspils vs Smiltene: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Smiltene travel to face JFK Ventspils on Sunday 2 August in the 1. Liga – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, JFK Ventspils are 13th, in the drop zone, on 19 points after 26 matches; Smiltene are 9th (lower half) with 27.
Current form
JFK Ventspils, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Riga Mariners, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Smiltene, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 3–5 defeat to Rīgas FS II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give JFK Ventspils 1.8 xG, Smiltene 1.6 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – JFK Ventspils 49%, draw 22%, Smiltene 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: JFK Ventspils 2–1 Smiltene. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
JFK Ventspils49%fair 2.04 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.80
Smiltene29%fair 3.42 · @3.60
3.40Expected goals
1.83JFK Ventspils xG
1.57Smiltene xG
54%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%
From our goals model: JFK Ventspils 1.8 – 1.6 Smiltene expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
JFK Ventspils to win✗
49%
2.04
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
–
Draw no bet
JFK Ventspils (draw no bet)✗
63%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Smiltene +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
First team to score
JFK Ventspils to score first
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT JFK Ventspils / FT JFK Ventspils✗
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.39
–
Recent results
JFK Ventspils – last 6
DLWDLL
25 Jul
@ Riga Mariners
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs JDFS Alberts
1–3
L
11 Jul
@ Skanste
3–0
W
4 Jul
@ Rēzekne FA
1–1
D
28 Jun
vs Valmiera BSS
0–2
L
20 Jun
vs Leevon PPK
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Smiltene – last 6
LWLLLL
25 Jul
vs Rīgas FS II
3–5
L
19 Jul
vs Rēzekne FA
1–0
W
4 Jul
@ Mārupe
1–2
L
28 Jun
vs Skanste
2–4
L
22 Jun
vs Valmiera BSS
1–4
L
14 Jun
@ Riga FC II
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between JFK Ventspils and Smiltene.
What is the prediction for JFK Ventspils vs Smiltene?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win JFK Ventspils vs Smiltene?
On our numbers JFK Ventspils have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Smiltene 29%.
How many goals will there be in JFK Ventspils vs Smiltene?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for JFK Ventspils vs Smiltene?
Our predicted score is JFK Ventspils 2–1 Smiltene, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is JFK Ventspils vs Smiltene?
JFK Ventspils vs Smiltene (1. Liga) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
