Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultLeevon PPK to win ✓57% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Mārupe vs Leevon PPK: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Saturday 8 August: Mārupe v Leevon PPK in the 1. Liga. In the table, Mārupe are 7th, upper half, on 34 points after 26 matches; Leevon PPK are 4th (among the top four) with 54. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Mārupe, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Skanste, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Leevon PPK, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Rēzekne FA, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Leevon PPK, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Mārupe.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mārupe 1.1 xG, Leevon PPK 1.9 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mārupe 23%, draw 20%, Leevon PPK 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mārupe 1–2 Leevon PPK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mārupe23%fair 4.27 · @3.60
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @4.00
Leevon PPK57%fair 1.76 · @1.70
3.07Expected goals
1.15Mārupe xG
1.93Leevon PPK xG
54%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–36%
2–16%
From our goals model: Mārupe 1.1 – 1.9 Leevon PPK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leevon PPK to win✓
57%
1.76
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.24
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
–
Draw no bet
Leevon PPK (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Mārupe +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Leevon PPK to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Leevon PPK ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leevon PPK / FT Leevon PPK✗
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.16
–
Recent results
Mārupe – last 6
LWLLWL
1 Aug
@ Skanste
2–4
L
25 Jul
@ Rēzekne FA
2–1
W
18 Jul
vs Metta LU
0–4
L
12 Jul
vs Grobiņa
0–1
L
4 Jul
vs Smiltene
2–1
W
27 Jun
@ Riga Mariners
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Leevon PPK – last 6
WWWLLL
1 Aug
vs Rēzekne FA
2–1
W
25 Jul
vs Skanste
2–1
W
18 Jul
vs Riga Mariners
2–1
W
10 Jul
vs Riga
2–3
L
5 Jul
@ Valmiera BSS
1–4
L
28 Jun
vs Metta LU
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mārupe and Leevon PPK.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Mārupe vs Leevon PPK?
On our numbers Mārupe have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Leevon PPK 57%.
How many goals will there be in Mārupe vs Leevon PPK?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mārupe vs Leevon PPK?
Our predicted score is Mārupe 1–2 Leevon PPK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Mārupe vs Leevon PPK?
Mārupe vs Leevon PPK (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
