Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.82
Valmiera BSS vs Mārupe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Saturday 22 August: Valmiera BSS v Mārupe in the 1. Liga. In the table, Valmiera BSS are 2nd, among the top four, on 60 points after 26 matches; Mārupe are 7th (upper half) with 34. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Valmiera BSS, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Smiltene, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Mārupe, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Super Nova 2, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Valmiera BSS, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.0 for Mārupe.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Valmiera BSS 2.6 xG, Mārupe 0.9 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Valmiera BSS 73%, draw 15%, Mārupe 12%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Valmiera BSS to win (73%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valmiera BSS 2–0 Mārupe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Valmiera BSS73%fair 1.37 · @1.20
Draw15%fair 6.53 · @6.25
Mārupe12%fair 8.56 · @9.00
3.53Expected goals
2.59Valmiera BSS xG
0.94Mārupe xG
53%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–08%
1–17%
From our goals model: Valmiera BSS 2.6 – 0.9 Mārupe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valmiera BSS to win✓
73%
1.37
1.20
Double chance
Valmiera BSS or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
–
Draw no bet
Valmiera BSS (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Valmiera BSS -1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
First team to score
Valmiera BSS to score first✓
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Valmiera BSS ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valmiera BSS / FT Valmiera BSS✓
50%
2.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.82
–
Recent results
Valmiera BSS – last 6
WWWWDW
8 Aug
@ Smiltene
4–1
W
1 Aug
vs Rīgas FS II
2–1
W
27 Jul
vs Riga FC II
3–0
W
18 Jul
@ Skanste
3–0
W
12 Jul
vs Ogre United
2–2
D
5 Jul
vs Leevon PPK
4–1
W
3.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Mārupe – last 6
WLLWLL
15 Aug
vs Super Nova 2
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Leevon PPK
0–1
L
1 Aug
@ Skanste
2–4
L
25 Jul
@ Rēzekne FA
2–1
W
18 Jul
vs Metta LU
0–4
L
12 Jul
vs Grobiņa
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valmiera BSS and Mārupe.
What is the prediction for Valmiera BSS vs Mārupe?
Our pick is Valmiera BSS to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Valmiera BSS vs Mārupe?
On our numbers Valmiera BSS have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Mārupe 12%.
How many goals will there be in Valmiera BSS vs Mārupe?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valmiera BSS vs Mārupe?
Our predicted score is Valmiera BSS 2–0 Mārupe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Valmiera BSS vs Mārupe?
Valmiera BSS vs Mārupe (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
