Tukums II 36%Draw 19%JFK Ventspils 45%Expected goals 1.67 – 1.88
68%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultJFK Ventspils to win ✗45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.77
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.78
Tukums II vs JFK Ventspils: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 26 September the 1. Liga brings Tukums II against JFK Ventspils. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Tukums II are 12th, in the drop zone, on 20 points after 26 matches; JFK Ventspils are 13th (in the drop zone) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Tukums II, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Rēzekne FA, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 3.3 conceded per game.
JFK Ventspils, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Skanste, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tukums II 1.7 xG, JFK Ventspils 1.9 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tukums II 36%, draw 19%, JFK Ventspils 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tukums II 1–2 JFK Ventspils. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tukums II36%fair 2.78 · @2.70
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @3.80
JFK Ventspils45%fair 2.24 · @2.10
3.55Expected goals
1.67Tukums II xG
1.88JFK Ventspils xG
56%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–35%
From our goals model: Tukums II 1.7 – 1.9 JFK Ventspils expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
JFK Ventspils to win✗
45%
2.24
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
–
Draw no bet
JFK Ventspils (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Tukums II +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
First team to score
JFK Ventspils to score first✗
51%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT JFK Ventspils / FT JFK Ventspils✗
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.78
–
Recent results
Tukums II – last 6
WLLLLD
19 Sep
vs Rēzekne FA
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Mārupe
0–5
L
6 Sep
vs Leevon PPK
0–3
L
30 Aug
@ Skanste
2–6
L
9 Aug
@ Riga Mariners
2–4
L
3 Aug
vs JDFS Alberts
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
JFK Ventspils – last 6
WLLDLL
20 Sep
vs Skanste
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Metta LU
0–7
L
5 Sep
@ Rīgas FS II
1–4
L
29 Aug
vs Riga FC II
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Super Nova 2
0–2
L
2 Aug
vs Smiltene
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tukums II and JFK Ventspils.
What is the prediction for Tukums II vs JFK Ventspils?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Tukums II vs JFK Ventspils?
On our numbers Tukums II have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 19% and JFK Ventspils 45%.
How many goals will there be in Tukums II vs JFK Ventspils?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tukums II vs JFK Ventspils?
Our predicted score is Tukums II 1–2 JFK Ventspils, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Tukums II vs JFK Ventspils?
Tukums II vs JFK Ventspils (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
