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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tukums II v Leevon PPK: numbers & prediction

1. Liga · Latvia
0–3
FT
Tukums II 18%Draw 19%Leevon PPK 62% Expected goals 1.21 – 2.33
67%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultLeevon PPK to win ✓62% · @1.50
Double chanceLeevon PPK or draw ✓82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.49

Tukums II vs Leevon PPK: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tukums II welcome Leevon PPK for a 1. Liga fixture on Sunday 6 September (11:00 WAT). In the table, Tukums II are 12th, in the drop zone, on 20 points after 26 matches; Leevon PPK are 4th (among the top four) with 54. There are 34 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Tukums II, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 2–6 defeat to Skanste, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 3.7 conceded per game.

Leevon PPK, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Super Nova 2, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Leevon PPK, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.7 for Tukums II.

Head to head

When they last met (2 May 2026) it ended Leevon PPK 4–1 Tukums II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tukums II 1.2 xG, Leevon PPK 2.3 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tukums II 18%, draw 19%, Leevon PPK 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tukums II 1–2 Leevon PPK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tukums II18%fair 5.45 · @4.50
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @4.50
Leevon PPK62%fair 1.61 · @1.50
3.54Expected goals
1.21Tukums II xG
2.33Leevon PPK xG
54%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–18%
0–28%
1–37%
0–17%
0–36%

From our goals model: Tukums II 1.2 – 2.3 Leevon PPK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLeevon PPK to win ✓62%1.611.50
Double chanceLeevon PPK or draw ✓82%1.221.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.86–
Draw no betLeevon PPK (draw no bet) ✓77%1.30–
Asian handicapLeevon PPK -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67%1.481.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓53%1.89–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓72%1.39–
First team to scoreLeevon PPK to score first ✓64%1.56–
Half-time resultLeevon PPK ahead at half-time ✓47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Leevon PPK / FT Leevon PPK ✓41%2.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.49–

Recent results

Tukums II – last 6

LLDLWL
30 Aug@ Skanste2–6L
9 Aug@ Riga Mariners2–4L
3 Augvs JDFS Alberts1–1D
27 Jul@ Metta LU0–9L
20 Julvs Rīgas FS II2–0W
4 Jul@ Riga FC II0–2L
1.2Scored / game
3.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Leevon PPK – last 6

WWWWWW
29 Augvs Super Nova 22–1W
23 Augvs Smiltene4–2W
8 Aug@ Mārupe1–0W
1 Augvs Rēzekne FA2–1W
25 Julvs Skanste2–1W
18 Julvs Riga Mariners2–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 May 2026Leevon PPK v Tukums II4–1
Tukums II vs Leevon PPK head-to-head page →

1. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Metta / LU262231+8569
2Valmiera / BSS261862+4160
3Riga Mariners261853+3259
4Leevon / PPK261664+1954
5JDFS Alberts261457+1847
6Riga FC II261079+137
7Mārupe2610412-634
8Super Nova 2267811-629
9Smiltene267613-2027
10Skanste268216-626
11Rīgas FS II267316-2624
12Tukums II265516-4020
13JFK Ventspils264715-2119
14Rēzekne FA261322-716

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tukums II vs Leevon PPK?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Tukums II vs Leevon PPK?

On our numbers Tukums II have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Leevon PPK 62%.

How many goals will there be in Tukums II vs Leevon PPK?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tukums II vs Leevon PPK?

Our predicted score is Tukums II 1–2 Leevon PPK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Tukums II vs Leevon PPK?

Tukums II vs Leevon PPK (1. Liga) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.