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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Babrungas v BFA: numbers & prediction

1 Lyga · Lithuania
4–0
FT

BFA

WWDWL
Babrungas 60%Draw 22%BFA 18% Expected goals 1.89 – 0.90
61%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultBabrungas to win ✓60% · @1.56
Double chanceBabrungas or draw ✓82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13

Babrungas vs BFA: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

BFA travel to face Babrungas on Friday 1 May in the 1 Lyga – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Babrungas are 2nd, among the top four, on 74 points after 30 matches; BFA are 6th (upper half) with 50. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Babrungas, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to BFA, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

BFA, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Babrungas, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Apr 2026) it ended BFA 1–0 Babrungas.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Babrungas 1.9 xG, BFA 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 60%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Babrungas 60%, draw 22%, BFA 18%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.45.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Babrungas 1–0 BFA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Babrungas60%fair 1.65 · @1.56
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @4.00
BFA18%fair 5.63 · @4.50
2.78Expected goals
1.89Babrungas xG
0.90BFA xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: Babrungas 1.9 – 0.9 BFA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

BabrungasBFA
Attack vs 1 Lyga average+21%+13%
Goals conceded vs average-45%-14%
Our expected goals here1.760.83

Our own ratings from every 1 Lyga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBabrungas to win ✓60%1.651.56
Double chanceBabrungas or draw ✓82%1.221.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.651.45
Draw no betBabrungas (draw no bet) ✓77%1.29–
Asian handicapBabrungas -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.251.10
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.681.37
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗61%1.631.70
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.281.28
First team to scoreBabrungas to score first ✓64%1.57–
Half-time resultBabrungas ahead at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Babrungas / FT Babrungas ✗38%2.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.13–

Recent results

Babrungas – last 5

LWWWW
28 Apr@ BFA0–1L
24 Aprvs Garliava1–0W
4 Aprvs Neptūną Klaipėda1–0W
22 Marvs Dainava3–1W
18 Marvs Transinvest 23–0W
1.6Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

BFA – last 5

WWDWL
28 Aprvs Babrungas1–0W
17 Apr@ Neptūną Klaipėda3–1W
4 Aprvs Dainava0–0D
17 Marvs FA Šiauliai II1–0W
13 Mar@ Be1 NFA1–3L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Apr 2026BFA v Babrungas1–0
Babrungas vs BFA head-to-head page →

1 Lyga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Minija302424+5774
2Babrungas302352+4274
3Be1 NFA301857+2059
4Žalgiris II301659+953
5Tauras301569+1451
6BFA3015510+550
7Dainava301398+1548
8Neptūną Klaipėda3014313-445
9Atmosfera3011811+1041
10Jonava308814-732
11Garliava308616-530
12Kauno Žalgiris II309219-2329
13Transinvest 2308517-2829
14Hegelmann II308418-2928
15FA Šiauliai II304620-3818
16Ekranas305322-3818

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Babrungas vs BFA?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Babrungas vs BFA?

On our numbers Babrungas have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and BFA 18%.

How many goals will there be in Babrungas vs BFA?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Babrungas vs BFA?

Our predicted score is Babrungas 1–0 BFA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Babrungas vs BFA?

Babrungas vs BFA (1 Lyga) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.