Dainava vs Jonava: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 2 May the 1 Lyga brings Dainava against Jonava at Alytus Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Dainava are 7th, upper half, on 48 points after 30 matches; Jonava are 10th (lower half) with 32. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Dainava, last 4: DDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Žalgiris II, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Jonava, last 4: LDWD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Šiauliai, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Jonava, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Dainava.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dainava 1.6 xG, Jonava 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dainava 46%, draw 26%, Jonava 27%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dainava 1–0 Jonava. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dainava46%fair 2.15 · @2.04
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.20
Jonava27%fair 3.68 · @3.25
2.56Expected goals
1.57Dainava xG
1.00Jonava xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–09%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Dainava 1.6 – 1.0 Jonava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Dainava
Jonava
Attack vs 1 Lyga average
-9%
-22%
Goals conceded vs average
-28%
-8%
Our expected goals here
1.43
0.74
Our own ratings from every 1 Lyga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dainava to win
46%
2.15
2.04
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.36
1.24
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
59%
1.70
1.70
Draw no bet
Dainava (draw no bet)
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Jonava +1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.38
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.93
1.79
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
86%
1.16
1.09
First team to score
Dainava to score first
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dainava / FT Dainava
30%
3.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.61
–
Recent results
Dainava – last 4
DDLL
24 Apr
@ Žalgiris II
0–0
D
4 Apr
@ BFA
0–0
D
28 Mar
@ Tauras
1–2
L
22 Mar
@ Babrungas
1–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Jonava – last 4
LDWD
29 Apr
vs Šiauliai
0–4
L
19 Apr
@ FA Šiauliai II
2–2
D
4 Apr
vs Kauno Žalgiris II
3–1
W
18 Mar
vs Be1 NFA
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dainava and Jonava.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Dainava vs Jonava?
On our numbers Dainava have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Jonava 27%.
How many goals will there be in Dainava vs Jonava?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dainava vs Jonava?
Our predicted score is Dainava 1–0 Jonava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Dainava vs Jonava?
Dainava vs Jonava (1 Lyga) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Alytus Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
