Value bet: Jonava to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNeptūną Klaipėda to win ✓38% · @2.04
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.26
Jonava vs Neptūną Klaipėda: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Friday 8 May: Jonava v Neptūną Klaipėda in the 1 Lyga, played at Jonavos centrinis stadionas. In the table, Jonava are 10th, lower half, on 32 points after 30 matches; Neptūną Klaipėda are 8th (upper half) with 45. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Jonava, last 4: LDWD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Šiauliai, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Neptūną Klaipėda, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Žalgiris II, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jonava 1.3 xG, Neptūną Klaipėda 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jonava 35%, draw 27%, Neptūną Klaipėda 38%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.71.
Price worth noting: Jonava to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jonava 1–1 Neptūną Klaipėda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jonava35%fair 2.86 · @3.20
Draw27%fair 3.64 · @3.20
Neptūną Klaipėda38%fair 2.66 · @2.04
2.46Expected goals
1.29Jonava xG
1.17Neptūną Klaipėda xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Jonava 1.3 – 1.2 Neptūną Klaipėda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Jonava
Neptūną Klaipėda
Attack vs 1 Lyga average
-22%
-30%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
-11%
Our expected goals here
1.18
0.86
Our own ratings from every 1 Lyga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Neptūną Klaipėda to win✓
38%
2.66
2.04
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
1.24
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.71
Draw no bet
Neptūną Klaipėda (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Neptūną Klaipėda +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.78
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.09
First team to score
Jonava to score first✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jonava / FT Jonava✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.26
–
Recent results
Jonava – last 4
LDWD
29 Apr
vs Šiauliai
0–4
L
19 Apr
@ FA Šiauliai II
2–2
D
4 Apr
vs Kauno Žalgiris II
3–1
W
18 Mar
vs Be1 NFA
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Neptūną Klaipėda – last 6
WLLLWL
2 May
vs Žalgiris II
2–1
W
22 Apr
vs Džiugas Telšiai
0–2
L
17 Apr
vs BFA
1–3
L
4 Apr
@ Babrungas
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Tauras
1–0
W
17 Mar
vs Garliava
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jonava and Neptūną Klaipėda.
What is the prediction for Jonava vs Neptūną Klaipėda?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Jonava vs Neptūną Klaipėda?
On our numbers Jonava have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Neptūną Klaipėda 38%.
How many goals will there be in Jonava vs Neptūną Klaipėda?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jonava vs Neptūną Klaipėda?
Our predicted score is Jonava 1–1 Neptūną Klaipėda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Jonava vs Neptūną Klaipėda?
Jonava vs Neptūną Klaipėda (1 Lyga) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Jonavos centrinis stadionas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
