Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.77 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.77Odds
Picks by market
ResultMinija to win ✓63% · @1.77
Double chanceMinija or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.43
Minija vs Tauras: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Minija welcome Tauras to Kretinga Stadium for a 1 Lyga fixture on Saturday 23 May (12:00 WAT). In the table, Minija are 1st, leading the league, on 74 points after 30 matches; Tauras are 5th (upper half) with 51. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Minija, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Pempininkai Gargždai, away. 3.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Tauras, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Žalgiris II, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Minija, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for Tauras.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Minija 2.4 xG, Tauras 1.1 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Minija 63%, draw 21%, Tauras 16%.
Lower-risk option: Minija or draw (84%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Minija to win (63%, odds 1.77 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Minija 2–1 Tauras. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Minija63%fair 1.59 · @1.77
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.55
Tauras16%fair 6.20 · @3.80
3.48Expected goals
2.40Minija xG
1.09Tauras xG
61%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Minija 2.4 – 1.1 Tauras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Minija
Tauras
Attack vs 1 Lyga average
+57%
+24%
Goals conceded vs average
-32%
+5%
Our expected goals here
2.78
1.12
Our own ratings from every 1 Lyga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Minija to win✓
63%
1.59
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Minija or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.62
Draw no bet
Minija (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Minija -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.19
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.63
1.64
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.13
First team to score
Minija to score first
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Minija ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Minija / FT Minija✗
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.43
–
Recent results
Minija – last 6
DWWWWW
19 May
@ Pempininkai Gargždai
1–1
D
9 May
vs Dainava
3–1
W
3 May
@ Transinvest 2
7–1
W
19 Apr
@ Kauno Žalgiris II
4–0
W
4 Apr
vs Ekranas
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Be1 NFA
3–2
W
3.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Tauras – last 6
DWLWWL
8 May
@ Žalgiris II
2–2
D
2 May
vs Atmosfera
2–0
W
21 Apr
vs Hegelmann Litauen
1–4
L
4 Apr
vs Garliava
2–0
W
28 Mar
vs Dainava
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Neptūną Klaipėda
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Minija and Tauras.
Our pick is Minija to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.77.
Who will win Minija vs Tauras?
On our numbers Minija have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tauras 16%.
How many goals will there be in Minija vs Tauras?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Minija vs Tauras?
Our predicted score is Minija 2–1 Tauras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Minija vs Tauras?
Minija vs Tauras (1 Lyga) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Kretinga Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
