Babrungas vs Minija: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Friday 29 May: Babrungas v Minija in the 1 Lyga. In the table, Babrungas are 2nd, among the top four, on 74 points after 30 matches; Minija are 1st (leading the league) with 74. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Babrungas, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Jonava, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Minija, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tauras, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Minija, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for Babrungas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Babrungas 1.5 xG, Minija 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Babrungas 40%, draw 26%, Minija 35%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.56.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Babrungas 1–1 Minija. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Babrungas40%fair 2.50 · @2.63
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.30
Minija35%fair 2.89 · @2.32
2.90Expected goals
1.54Babrungas xG
1.35Minija xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Babrungas 1.5 – 1.4 Minija expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Babrungas
Minija
Attack vs 1 Lyga average
+21%
+57%
Goals conceded vs average
-45%
-32%
Our expected goals here
1.40
1.15
Our own ratings from every 1 Lyga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Babrungas to win
40%
2.50
2.63 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.34
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
61%
1.64
1.56
Draw no bet
Babrungas (draw no bet)
54%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Minija +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
55%
1.82
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
67%
1.50
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.13
First team to score
Babrungas to score first
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Babrungas / FT Babrungas
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.25
–
Recent results
Babrungas – last 6
DDWLWW
22 May
@ Jonava
1–1
D
9 May
@ Atmosfera
1–1
D
1 May
vs BFA
4–0
W
28 Apr
@ BFA
0–1
L
24 Apr
vs Garliava
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Neptūną Klaipėda
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Minija – last 6
WDWWWW
23 May
vs Tauras
2–1
W
19 May
@ Pempininkai Gargždai
1–1
D
9 May
vs Dainava
3–1
W
3 May
@ Transinvest 2
7–1
W
19 Apr
@ Kauno Žalgiris II
4–0
W
4 Apr
vs Ekranas
2–1
W
3.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Babrungas and Minija.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Babrungas vs Minija?
On our numbers Babrungas have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Minija 35%.
How many goals will there be in Babrungas vs Minija?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Babrungas vs Minija?
Our predicted score is Babrungas 1–1 Minija, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Babrungas vs Minija?
Babrungas vs Minija (1 Lyga) kicks off on Friday 29 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
