Value bet: Žalgiris II to win @ 2.55 – our chance 45% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultŽalgiris II to win ✗45% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗5% · fair 20.67
Žalgiris II vs Jonava: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Žalgiris II welcome Jonava for a 1 Lyga fixture on Sunday 21 June (14:00 WAT). In the table, Žalgiris II are 4th, among the top four, on 53 points after 30 matches; Jonava are 10th (lower half) with 32. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Žalgiris II, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Garliava, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Jonava, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Atmosfera, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Žalgiris II 1.6 xG, Jonava 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Žalgiris II 45%, draw 24%, Jonava 31%.
Price worth noting: Žalgiris II to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Žalgiris II 2–1 Jonava. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Žalgiris II45%fair 2.22 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.50
Jonava31%fair 3.19 · @2.30
2.72Expected goals
1.64Žalgiris II xG
1.08Jonava xG
49%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Žalgiris II 1.6 – 1.1 Jonava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Žalgiris II
Jonava
Attack vs 1 Lyga average
+14%
-22%
Goals conceded vs average
-17%
-8%
Our expected goals here
1.78
0.86
Our own ratings from every 1 Lyga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Žalgiris II to win✗
45%
2.22
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
–
Draw no bet
Žalgiris II (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Jonava +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Žalgiris II to score first
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Žalgiris II / FT Žalgiris II✗
31%
3.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
5%
20.67
–
Recent results
Žalgiris II – last 6
WLLDLD
13 Jun
vs Garliava
2–1
W
30 May
@ Atmosfera
0–2
L
22 May
vs BFA
3–4
L
8 May
vs Tauras
2–2
D
2 May
@ Neptūną Klaipėda
1–2
L
24 Apr
vs Dainava
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Jonava – last 6
DDLDLL
12 Jun
vs Atmosfera
1–1
D
7 Jun
vs Minija
0–0
D
30 May
@ BFA
0–1
L
22 May
vs Babrungas
1–1
D
8 May
vs Neptūną Klaipėda
0–1
L
29 Apr
vs Šiauliai
0–4
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Žalgiris II and Jonava.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Žalgiris II vs Jonava?
On our numbers Žalgiris II have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Jonava 31%.
How many goals will there be in Žalgiris II vs Jonava?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Žalgiris II vs Jonava?
Our predicted score is Žalgiris II 2–1 Jonava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Žalgiris II vs Jonava?
Žalgiris II vs Jonava (1 Lyga) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
