Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultMinija to win ✓60% · @1.65
Double chanceMinija or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗7% · fair 14.03
Garliava vs Minija: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Friday 26 June: Garliava v Minija in the 1 Lyga, played at Garliavos Adomo Mitkaus mokyklos stadionas. In the table, Garliava are 11th, lower half, on 30 points after 30 matches; Minija are 1st (leading the league) with 74. There are 44 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Garliava, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Transinvest 2, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Minija, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Panevėžys, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Minija, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.8 for Garliava.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Garliava 0.9 xG, Minija 2.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 47% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Garliava 18%, draw 23%, Minija 60%.
Lower-risk option: Minija or draw (82%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Minija to win (60%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Garliava 0–2 Minija. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Garliava18%fair 5.65 · @4.00
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.90
Minija60%fair 1.68 · @1.65
2.98Expected goals
0.95Garliava xG
2.04Minija xG
47%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–210%
0–110%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Garliava 0.9 – 2.0 Minija expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Garliava
Minija
Attack vs 1 Lyga average
-25%
+57%
Goals conceded vs average
+1%
-32%
Our expected goals here
0.87
2.10
Our own ratings from every 1 Lyga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Minija to win✓
60%
1.68
1.65
Double chance
Minija or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Minija (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Minija -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Minija to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Minija ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Minija / FT Minija✓
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
7%
14.03
–
Recent results
Garliava – last 6
WLLDDL
19 Jun
vs Transinvest 2
3–0
W
13 Jun
@ Žalgiris II
1–2
L
8 Jun
@ Dainava
0–1
L
29 May
vs FA Šiauliai II
1–1
D
23 May
@ Atmosfera
1–1
D
19 May
@ BFA
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Minija – last 6
WWWDWD
23 Jun
vs Panevėžys
2–1
W
20 Jun
@ Atmosfera
1–0
W
13 Jun
vs BFA
3–0
W
7 Jun
@ Jonava
0–0
D
23 May
vs Tauras
2–1
W
19 May
@ Pempininkai Gargždai
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Garliava and Minija.
Our pick is Minija to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Garliava vs Minija?
On our numbers Garliava have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Minija 60%.
How many goals will there be in Garliava vs Minija?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Garliava vs Minija?
Our predicted score is Garliava 0–2 Minija, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Garliava vs Minija?
Garliava vs Minija (1 Lyga) kicks off on Friday 26 June 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Garliavos Adomo Mitkaus mokyklos stadionas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.