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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Garliava v Minija: numbers & prediction

1 Lyga · Lithuania · Garliavos Adomo Mitkaus mokyklos stadionas
0–1
FT

Minija

WWWDW
Garliava 18%Draw 23%Minija 60% Expected goals 0.95 – 2.04
60%
Betarazi pick

Minija to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultMinija to win ✓60% · @1.65
Double chanceMinija or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗7% · fair 14.03

Garliava vs Minija: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:30 WAT, Friday 26 June: Garliava v Minija in the 1 Lyga, played at Garliavos Adomo Mitkaus mokyklos stadionas. In the table, Garliava are 11th, lower half, on 30 points after 30 matches; Minija are 1st (leading the league) with 74. There are 44 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Garliava, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Transinvest 2, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Minija, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Panevėžys, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Minija, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.8 for Garliava.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Garliava 0.9 xG, Minija 2.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 47% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Garliava 18%, draw 23%, Minija 60%.
  • Lower-risk option: Minija or draw (82%) at 1.17.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Minija to win (60%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Garliava 0–2 Minija. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Garliava18%fair 5.65 · @4.00
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.90
Minija60%fair 1.68 · @1.65
2.98Expected goals
0.95Garliava xG
2.04Minija xG
47%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–210%
0–110%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%

From our goals model: Garliava 0.9 – 2.0 Minija expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

GarliavaMinija
Attack vs 1 Lyga average-25%+57%
Goals conceded vs average+1%-32%
Our expected goals here0.872.10

Our own ratings from every 1 Lyga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMinija to win ✓60%1.681.65
Double chanceMinija or draw ✓82%1.211.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.89–
Draw no betMinija (draw no bet) ✓77%1.30–
Asian handicapMinija -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.721.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
First team to scoreMinija to score first ✓65%1.54–
Half-time resultMinija ahead at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Minija / FT Minija ✓40%2.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗7%14.03–

Recent results

Garliava – last 6

WLLDDL
19 Junvs Transinvest 23–0W
13 Jun@ Žalgiris II1–2L
8 Jun@ Dainava0–1L
29 Mayvs FA Šiauliai II1–1D
23 May@ Atmosfera1–1D
19 May@ BFA1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Minija – last 6

WWWDWD
23 Junvs Panevėžys2–1W
20 Jun@ Atmosfera1–0W
13 Junvs BFA3–0W
7 Jun@ Jonava0–0D
23 Mayvs Tauras2–1W
19 May@ Pempininkai Gargždai1–1D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Garliava and Minija.

Garliava vs Minija head-to-head page →

1 Lyga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Minija302424+5774
2Babrungas302352+4274
3Be1 NFA301857+2059
4Žalgiris II301659+953
5Tauras301569+1451
6BFA3015510+550
7Dainava301398+1548
8Neptūną Klaipėda3014313-445
9Atmosfera3011811+1041
10Jonava308814-732
11Garliava308616-530
12Kauno Žalgiris II309219-2329
13Transinvest 2308517-2829
14Hegelmann II308418-2928
15FA Šiauliai II304620-3818
16Ekranas305322-3818

More 1 Lyga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Garliava vs Minija?

Our pick is Minija to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Garliava vs Minija?

On our numbers Garliava have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Minija 60%.

How many goals will there be in Garliava vs Minija?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Garliava vs Minija?

Our predicted score is Garliava 0–2 Minija, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Garliava vs Minija?

Garliava vs Minija (1 Lyga) kicks off on Friday 26 June 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Garliavos Adomo Mitkaus mokyklos stadionas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.