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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Qarabag v Sabah FA: numbers & prediction

Cup · Azerbaidjan · Azersun Arena

Qarabag

LWWDL
2–2
FT
Qarabag 41%Draw 26%Sabah FA 32% Expected goals 1.52 – 1.41
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultQarabag to win ✗41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.50

Qarabag vs Sabah FA: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Qarabag welcome Sabah FA to Azersun Arena for a Cup fixture on Friday 3 April (17:00 WAT).

Current form

Qarabag, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kapaz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Sabah FA, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Sumqayıt, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Sabah FA, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for Qarabag.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Qarabag 3–3 Sabah FA.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Qarabag 1.5 xG, Sabah FA 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Qarabag 41%, draw 26%, Sabah FA 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Qarabag 1–1 Sabah FA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Qarabag41%fair 2.42 · @2.00
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.10
Sabah FA32%fair 3.09 · @3.30
2.93Expected goals
1.52Qarabag xG
1.41Sabah FA xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%

From our goals model: Qarabag 1.5 – 1.4 Sabah FA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultQarabag to win ✗41%2.422.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.361.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.621.75 ▲
Draw no betQarabag (draw no bet)56%1.78–
Asian handicapSabah FA +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.78–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scoreQarabag to score first49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT Qarabag / FT Qarabag ✗24%4.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.50–

Recent results

Qarabag – last 6

LWWDLL
20 Mar@ Kapaz0–1L
8 Marvs Araz6–0W
4 Marvs Keshla FC3–1W
1 Marvs Sabah FA3–3D
24 Feb@ Newcastle2–3L
18 Febvs Newcastle1–6L
2.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Sabah FA – last 6

WWWDWW
19 Marvs Sumqayıt3–1W
14 Mar@ Mil-Muğan5–0W
10 Marvs Qabala7–1W
1 Mar@ Qarabag3–3D
22 Febvs Kapaz1–0W
16 Feb@ Qabala1–0W
3.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Mar 2026Qarabag v Sabah FA3–3
Qarabag vs Sabah FA head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Qarabag vs Sabah FA?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Qarabag vs Sabah FA?

On our numbers Qarabag have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sabah FA 32%.

How many goals will there be in Qarabag vs Sabah FA?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Qarabag vs Sabah FA?

Our predicted score is Qarabag 1–1 Sabah FA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Qarabag vs Sabah FA?

Qarabag vs Sabah FA (Cup) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Azersun Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.